Petco Park, San Diego, California
First pitch: 9:30 p.m. ET (6:30 p.m. PT)
TV: FS1 / FOX One / FOX Deportes
The Brewers, who won 103 games in the regular season and hold home-field advantage throughout the playoffs, lead the best-of-five National League Division Series 2-0 after dramatic wins in Milwaukee (including a walk-off in Game 2). San Diego (91-71 regular season) is fighting to avoid elimination at home.
Starting Pitchers
Brewers: RHP Dustin May (7-9, 4.70 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 144 K in 145.2 IP regular season). Acquired midseason; strong career numbers vs. Padres (including solid outings earlier in 2026) but mixed results with Milwaukee late in the year.
Padres: RHP Nick Pivetta (3-2, 2.86 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 42 K in 34.2 IP). Missed significant time with a flexor strain but has been sharp since returning in September and in the Wild Card round.
Current Weather Forecast
Sunny and very warm conditions expected at Petco Park. Highs in the mid-to-upper 80s/low 90s°F during the day, cooling into the upper 70s/low 80s by first pitch. Light winds (around 5-10 mph, often from the NW or variable), clear skies, and negligible chance of precipitation. Typical late-afternoon/evening San Diego weather favoring playability with some potential for slightly reduced carry due to the park’s dimensions and any in-from-center wind.
Injury Reports
Brewers: Joey Ortiz (3B) managing abdominal/groin/knee issues but has been available (usage matchup-dependent). Other longer-term absences include pitchers such as Brandon Woodruff (shoulder), Quinn Priester, and others on the IL.
Padres: Jeremiah Estrada (RHP, shoulder) remains sidelined (impactful for the bullpen). Walker Buehler has returned from the paternity list. Longer-term issues include Casey Mize (ankle), Lucas Giolito, and others. Joe Musgrove is available after a long recovery.
Projected Lineups / Key Roster Notes
Expected Brewers order features Jackson Chourio, Brice Turang, William Contreras, Christian Yelich, Garrett Mitchell, Sal Frelick, and supporting pieces (exact order subject to final confirmation).
Padres likely lead with Fernando Tatis Jr., followed by Manny Machado, Jackson Merrill, Xander Bogaerts, Ty France, Jake Cronenworth, and others (Dustin Harris, Gavin Sheets frequently featured). Both clubs are using their standard 26-man NLDS rosters with recent tweaks (e.g., Buehler activation).
Recent Team Forms
Brewers: Dominant late regular season and 2-0 in the series after tight, resilient wins (including Chourio’s Game 2 walk-off single off Mason Miller). Strong pitching depth and timely hitting.
Padres: Strong finish to the regular season (including a late surge) and Wild Card success, but dropped both games in Milwaukee in close fashion. Excellent home record during the year (51-30). Desperation mode with the season on the line.
Series History
Regular-season series was split (4-4). Padres swept a three-game set at Petco in August. In the postseason, Milwaukee has taken the first two tightly contested games. Historical matchups have been competitive, often low-to-moderate scoring at Petco.
Key Player vs. Player Matchups
Dustin May vs. Padres lineup (Tatis, Machado, Merrill, Bogaerts): May has historically handled San Diego well; key is limiting early damage and managing the middle of the order.
Nick Pivetta vs. Brewers lineup (Chourio, Yelich, Contreras, Turang): Pivetta’s recent form and strikeout ability will be tested by Milwaukee’s patient, contact-oriented approach and speed.
Bullpens: Both deep, but Padres missing Estrada while Brewers lean on their late-inning arms.
Defense and baserunning: Chourio and Frelick speed vs. Padres’ athletic outfield/infield.
Betting Trendssi.com
Petco is a pitcher-friendly park. Pivetta has the edge on recent form, but May has pedigree against this lineup and Milwaukee has shown resilience. Home underdogs in elimination spots can be dangerous, yet the Brewers’ overall talent and series momentum are significant.
Game Odds
Milwaukee Brewers 7.5
San Diego Padres – 135
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, October 5, 2026
