Venue: loanDepot Park — Miami, Florida
First Pitch: 4:10 PM ET / 1:10 PM PT
Surface: Artificial Turf
Park Factor: One of MLB’s most pitcher‑friendly parks; suppresses HRs and rewards line‑drive hitters.
WEATHER OUTLOOK — MIAMI, FL
(Note: loanDepot Park has a retractable roof; roof is typically closed for heat/humidity.)
Temperature: 86–89°F (outside)
Humidity: 70–75%
Wind: 10–14 mph (irrelevant if roof closed)
Rain: 40% chance (roof likely closed)
Impact:
With the roof closed, conditions are neutral and consistent.
Pitchers benefit from the park’s deep dimensions and heavy air.
INJURY REPORT
Washington Nationals (19–20)
OF James Wood — Day‑to‑Day (quad tightness)
SS CJ Abrams — Healthy
1B Joey Meneses — Healthy
SP Josiah Gray — OUT (elbow inflammation)
Miami Marlins (17–22)
2B Luis Arraez — Probable (hand soreness)
SP Sandy Alcantara — OUT (Tommy John recovery)
OF Jazz Chisholm Jr. — Healthy
RP A.J. Puk — Healthy
Impact:
Nationals missing Gray continues to strain their rotation depth.
Miami getting Arraez back stabilizes their top‑of‑order contact hitting.
TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM
Washington Nationals (19–20)
Last 10: 6–4
Road Record: 9–11
Run Differential: -12
Trend: Offense improving, bullpen stabilizing, rotation inconsistent.
Miami Marlins (17–22)
Last 10: 4–6
Home Record: 10–10
Run Differential: -28
Trend: Pitching improving, offense streaky, bullpen volatile.
RECENT TEAM FORM SNAPSHOT
Washington Nationals
Abrams emerging as a star with power + speed
Meneses heating up at the plate
Bullpen ERA trending downward
Nationals averaging 4.5 runs per game over last 10
Defense improving, especially in the infield
Miami Marlins
Jazz Chisholm providing power/speed spark
Arraez returning boosts OBP and contact rate
Rotation giving more quality starts
Marlins averaging 4.1 runs per game over last 10
Bullpen remains inconsistent in late innings
SERIES HISTORY
2025 Season Series: Nationals won 7–6
Last 10 Meetings: Nationals lead 6–4
At loanDepot Park: Teams split 3–3 last season
Trend: Washington has had a slight edge recently, but Miami plays better at home.
PROJECTED STARTING PITCHING MATCHUP
WASHINGTON — SP MacKenzie Gore (LHP)
2026 ERA: 3.92
WHIP: 1.26
Last 3 Starts: 2–1, 3.60 ERA
Strengths: High‑velo fastball, strong strikeout ability
Weaknesses: Occasional command lapses, high pitch counts
Matchup Note: Miami struggles vs. high‑velocity lefties — advantage Gore.
MIAMI — SP Jesús Luzardo (LHP)
2026 ERA: 4.18
WHIP: 1.29
Last 3 Starts: 1–2, 4.50 ERA
Strengths: Swing‑and‑miss slider, elite stuff when sharp
Weaknesses: Inconsistent command, vulnerable early in games
Matchup Note: Nationals’ right‑handed bats (Meneses, Ruiz) match up well vs. Luzardo.
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
CJ Abrams (WSH) vs. Jesús Luzardo
Abrams excels vs. lefties
Luzardo’s slider must be sharp to contain him
Advantage: Washington
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) vs. MacKenzie Gore
Jazz dangerous vs. fastballs
Gore’s velocity can overpower him if command is tight
Advantage: Even
Joey Meneses (WSH) vs. Marlins Bullpen
Meneses thrives late in games
Miami’s bullpen ERA bottom‑10
Advantage: Washington
BETTING TRENDS
Washington Nationals
6–4 in last 10
Unders hit in 5 of last 7
4–1 in last 5 vs. Miami
5–2 in last 7 road games
Miami Marlins
3–6 in last 9
Overs hit in 4 of last 6
2–5 in last 7 vs. NL East opponents
1–4 in last 5 home games
Head‑to‑Head
Nationals averaging 4.7 runs per game vs. Miami since 2024
Marlins averaging 3.9 runs per game
Unders hit in 6 of last 10 meetings
Game Odds
Washington Nationals 8.5
Miami Marlins – 163
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 8, 2026
