Venue: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington
Scheduled First Pitch: 6:40 p.m. PT / 9:40 p.m. ET
Broadcast: Bally Sports Sun, ROOT Sports Northwest, MLB.TV
WEATHER FORECAST — SEATTLE, WA
Temperature: 72°F at first pitch
Humidity: 63%
Wind: 6 mph blowing out to left‑center
Conditions: Clear, mild Pacific Northwest evening
Ballpark Impact: Slightly pitcher‑friendly overall, but warm air + modest breeze could help balls carry to the gaps
PROJECTED STARTING PITCHERS
Tampa Bay Rays — RHP Griffin Jax
2026 Season: 6–5, 3.68 ERA, 1.19 WHIP
Strengths: Strong command, elite slider, keeps ball off the barrel
Concerns: Occasional trouble vs left‑handed hitters; Mariners’ top‑of‑order contact hitters
Notes: Jax has a 3.21 ERA over his last six starts and has pitched well on the road (3.44 ERA).
Seattle Mariners — RHP George Kirby
2026 Season: 8–7, 3.41 ERA, 1.12 WHIP
Strengths: Exceptional control, elite strikeout‑to‑walk ratio, dominant at home
Concerns: Rays’ right‑handed power; occasional home‑run susceptibility
Notes: Kirby has a 2.89 ERA at T-Mobile Park and has allowed two runs or fewer in five of his last seven starts.
INJURY REPORT
Tampa Bay Rays
Shane McClanahan — Out (Tommy John recovery)
Jeffrey Springs — 15‑day IL (shoulder)
Taylor Walls — Day‑to‑day (ankle)
Andrew Kittredge — 60‑day IL (elbow)
Seattle Mariners
Logan Gilbert — 15‑day IL (forearm)
Matt Brash — Out (elbow)
Dylan Moore — Day‑to‑day (hamstring)
Robbie Ray — 60‑day IL (back)
RECENT TEAM FORM
Tampa Bay Rays — Last 10 Games
Record: 7–3
Offense: 5.0 runs per game
Pitching: 3.52 ERA
Trend: Arozarena and Paredes surging; bullpen sharp
Seattle Mariners — Last 10 Games
Record: 4–6
Offense: 3.9 runs per game
Pitching: 4.28 ERA
Trend: Rodríguez heating up; rotation injuries hurting consistency
SERIES HISTORY
2023–2026: Rays lead 15–11
At T-Mobile Park: Rays lead 8–6
Last Meeting (May 2026): Rays won series 2–1
Key Trend: Tampa Bay’s pitching has consistently limited Seattle’s power in this ballpark
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. Griffin Jax vs Julio Rodríguez
Rodríguez’s elite bat speed vs Jax’s slider. Jax must avoid elevated fastballs; Julio punishes mistakes.
2. George Kirby vs Randy Arozarena
Arozarena’s right‑handed power vs Kirby’s command. Arozarena has a .302 average vs high‑control pitchers.
3. Isaac Paredes vs Mariners Bullpen
Paredes has been one of MLB’s best late‑inning hitters; Mariners’ bullpen has allowed 13 HR in the last 15 games.
4. J.P. Crawford vs Rays Pitching
Crawford’s contact skills vs Jax’s strikeout approach. Crawford has reached base in 16 of his last 18 games.
TACTICAL OUTLOOK
Tampa Bay Rays
Strengths: Deep lineup, elite bullpen, strong road performance
Concerns: Rotation injuries, occasional defensive lapses
Keys to Win:
Jax must neutralize Rodríguez early
Arozarena/Paredes must drive early offense
Attack Mariners’ bullpen aggressively
Seattle Mariners
Strengths: Strong home performance, Kirby’s command, athletic outfield
Concerns: Inconsistent offense, rotation depth
Keys to Win:
Kirby must avoid big innings
Rodríguez/Raleigh must set the tone early
Limit Rays’ right‑handed power
BETTING TRENDS
Rays are 9–3 in their last 12 road games
Mariners are 4–8 in their last 12 home games
Over has hit in 6 of the last 9 Rays games
Rays are 7–2 in Jax’s last nine starts
Mariners are 6–3 in Kirby’s last nine starts
Arozarena has reached base in 17 straight games
Game Odds
Tampa Bay Rays 7
Seattle Mariners – 112
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, August 7, 2026
