First Pitch: 6:35 PM ET
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards — Baltimore, Maryland
Venue Profile — Oriole Park at Camden Yards
- Location: Downtown Baltimore, MD
- Dimensions: LF 333 ft, CF 410 ft, RF 318 ft
- Park Factor: Slightly pitcher-friendly to left field after the 2022 wall extension; still hitter-friendly to RF.
- Surface: Kentucky bluegrass
- Notes: Evening humidity often boosts carry to right field; left-handed power plays up.
Weather Forecast
- Temperature: 72–75°F at first pitch
- Wind: 6–9 mph blowing out to right field
- Humidity: 68%
- Precipitation: <10%
- Impact:
- Boost for left-handed pull hitters (Rays: Lowe, Aranda; Orioles: Henderson, O’Hearn).
- Slightly elevated HR probability to RF.
Injury Report
Tampa Bay Rays
- Wander Franco — OUT (administrative list)
- Josh Lowe — Day-to-day (quad)
- Jeffrey Springs — 60‑day IL (elbow)
- Pete Fairbanks — 15‑day IL (forearm)
Baltimore Orioles
- Cedric Mullins — Day-to-day (groin)
- Anthony Santander — Day-to-day (wrist)
- Kyle Bradish — 60‑day IL (UCL)
- John Means — OUT for season (elbow)
Team Records & Recent Form
Tampa Bay Rays (34–17)
- Last 10: 7–3
- Road Record: 16–10
- Run Differential: +52
- Trend: Elite pitching staff; offense streaky but explosive. Jax has stabilized rotation.
Baltimore Orioles (24–30)
- Last 10: 4–6
- Home Record: 12–15
- Run Differential: –21
- Trend: Young lineup inconsistent; bullpen overworked; Baz returning from injury has been uneven.
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
TB — RHP Sonny Jax
- 2026 Stats: 3.12 ERA | 1.09 WHIP | 9.6 K/9
- Profile:
- Power fastball (96–98) with late ride.
- Slider is his putaway pitch; generates 35% whiff rate.
- Excellent vs. RHB; vulnerable to LHB when slider backs up.
- Matchup Notes:
- Orioles’ best bats (Henderson, O’Hearn) are left-handed.
- Camden Yards RF wind could challenge him.
BAL — RHP Shane Baz
- 2026 Stats: 4.44 ERA | 1.32 WHIP | 10.1 K/9
- Profile:
- Electric stuff but inconsistent command.
- Fastball/slider combo can dominate when ahead in counts.
- Struggles with deep counts and high pitch counts.
- Matchup Notes:
- Rays are top‑5 in MLB in chase rate vs. high-velo RHP.
- Tampa’s lefties (Lowe, Aranda) match up well with his fastball plane.
Key Player Matchups
Rays Hitters vs. Baz
- Brandon Lowe: Elite vs. high-velo RHP; HR threat with wind to RF.
- Yandy Díaz: Patient hitter; forces Baz into deep counts.
- Isaac Paredes: Excellent vs. sliders; potential RBI spot.
Orioles Hitters vs. Jax
- Gunnar Henderson: Best O’s bat vs. elite velocity; HR candidate.
- Ryan O’Hearn: Pull-heavy LHB; wind to RF helps him.
- Adley Rutschman: Switch-hitter who handles high-velo well.
Series History
- 2025 Season: Rays won 10–9.
- 2026 Season (so far): Rays lead 2–0.
- At Camden Yards (last 3 years): Rays 15–11.
- Trend: Tampa consistently handles Baltimore’s pitching.
Betting Trends
Tampa Bay Rays
- 7–1 in last 8 vs. losing teams
- Under is 6–2 in last 8 road games
- Rays 9–3 in last 12 Jax starts
Baltimore Orioles
- 3–7 in last 10 home games
- Over is 5–1 in last 6 Baz starts
- Orioles 2–8 in last 10 vs. AL East
Head-to-Head
- Rays 6–1 in last 7 meetings
- Under is 8–3 in last 11 at Camden Yards
GAME ODDS
Tampa Bay Rays 9
Baltimore Orioles – 110
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, May 25, 2026
