Scheduled First Pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET
Venue: Yankee Stadium — Bronx, New York
Weather Forecast
Conditions: Clear skies
Temperature: 79°F at first pitch
Wind: 6–8 mph blowing out toward right field
Humidity: 58%
Impact: Slightly hitter‑friendly; right‑handed pull hitters may benefit
Team Form & Context
St. Louis Cardinals (55–57)
St. Louis enters the Bronx having dropped five of their last seven, struggling to generate consistent offense. The Cardinals’ lineup has been streaky, with Nolan Arenado and Paul Goldschmidt showing flashes but not sustaining production. Rookie Jordan Walker has been one of the few bright spots, while the bullpen has been unreliable in late innings. Michael McGreevy has provided competitive outings but remains vulnerable to high‑contact lineups.
New York Yankees (63–49)
The Yankees return home after a 4–2 road trip, maintaining pace in the AL East race and strengthening their Wild Card position. Their offense has surged behind Juan Soto, Aaron Judge, and Luis García Jr., who was recently acquired and has been one of MLB’s hottest hitters. Brian Schlittler has been a stabilizing force in the rotation, giving New York quality innings with above‑average strikeout rates and strong command.
Probable Pitchers Breakdown
St. Louis — RHP Michael McGreevy
2026 Season: 6–7, 4.41 ERA, 1.33 WHIP
Last 5 Starts: 2–2, 4.02 ERA
Strengths: Ground‑ball specialist, good sinker/slider mix
Weaknesses: Struggles vs. left‑handed power; limited swing‑and‑miss
Yankees Matchup Notes: Soto and García Jr. profile extremely well against his pitch mix
New York — RHP Brian Schlittler
2026 Season: 8–5, 3.52 ERA, 1.18 WHIP
Last 5 Starts: 3–1, 2.97 ERA
Strengths: High‑spin fastball, sharp cutter, excellent command
Weaknesses: Occasional trouble finishing at‑bats; susceptible to early‑count ambushes
Cardinals Matchup Notes: Goldschmidt has historically hit high‑spin fastballs well
Injury Reports
St. Louis Cardinals
C Willson Contreras — 10‑day IL (forearm strain)
SP Steven Matz — 15‑day IL (shoulder)
RP Giovanny Gallegos — 15‑day IL (back tightness)
OF Lars Nootbaar — Day‑to‑day (ankle)
New York Yankees
1B Rhys Hoskins — 60‑day IL (ACL recovery)
RP Seranthony Domínguez — 15‑day IL (shoulder)
OF Brandon Marsh — Day‑to‑day (knee soreness)
SP Taijuan Walker — 15‑day IL (forearm tightness)
Key Player Matchups
Juan Soto (NYY) vs. Michael McGreevy
Soto is hitting .318 vs. RHP this season
McGreevy’s sinker tends to leak arm‑side, a danger zone for Soto’s pull power
Expect Soto to see multiple RBI opportunities
Aaron Judge (NYY) vs. Cardinals Bullpen
Judge has a 1.012 OPS over his last 20 games
St. Louis relievers have allowed a .274 average to right‑handed hitters since July
High‑leverage mismatch favors New York
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) vs. Brian Schlittler
Goldschmidt has a history of success vs. high‑spin fastballs
Schlittler’s cutter may neutralize him if located properly
Key matchup for St. Louis staying competitive
Luis García Jr. (NYY) vs. McGreevy
García Jr. has been one of MLB’s hottest hitters since May
His ability to crush sinkers and curveballs makes him a major threat
McGreevy must avoid middle‑third pitches
Series History
Last Meeting: Yankees swept a two‑game set in 2025
Last 10 Meetings: Yankees lead 7–3
At Yankee Stadium: Yankees have won 5 of the last 6
Interleague Trend: Yankees have dominated NL Central opponents at home
Recent Team Trends
St. Louis
Last 10 Games: 4–6
Road Record: 26–31
Runs per Game (last 10): 3.7
Bullpen ERA (last 15): 4.98
Trend: Offense inconsistent; pitching vulnerable late
New York
Last 10 Games: 6–4
Home Record: 34–22
Runs per Game (last 10): 5.4
Bullpen ERA (last 15): 3.61
Trend: Offense surging; rotation stabilizing
Betting Trends
St. Louis
Cardinals are 3–8 in their last 11 road games
UNDER has hit in 7 of their last 10
McGreevy starts have gone UNDER in 9 of his last 13
New York
Yankees are 12–5 in their last 17 home games
OVER has hit in 6 of their last 9
Yankees are 10–3 in Schlittler’s last 13 starts
Preview Summary
The Yankees enter Monday’s matchup with momentum and a lineup that has been one of MLB’s most dangerous over the past month. Brian Schlittler’s consistency gives New York a strong foundation, while the Cardinals’ offense has struggled to sustain rallies on the road. Michael McGreevy faces a difficult assignment against a Yankees lineup stacked with left‑handed power and disciplined right‑handed hitters.
Game Odds
St. Louis Cardinals 8
New York Yankees – 206
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, August 2, 2026
