First Pitch: 7:10 PM ET
Venue: Citi Field, Queens, New York
Probable Pitchers:
- STL: Tink Hence May (RHP)
- NYM: Freddy Peralta (RHP)
Venue: Citi Field
- Location: Flushing, Queens, NY
- Capacity: ~41,800
- Park Factors:
- Slightly pitcher‑friendly
- Deep right‑center gap suppresses home runs
- Plays neutral in warm weather
- Surface: Natural grass, typically fast in June
Weather Forecast (Queens, NY)
- Temperature: 74–77°F at first pitch
- Wind: 6–9 mph blowing out to left
- Humidity: ~63%
- Chance of Rain: <10%
- Impact: Mild boost to right‑handed pull hitters; otherwise neutral hitting environment
Team Records & Standings
- St. Louis Cardinals: 35–28 (2nd in NL Central)
- New York Mets: 29–36 (4th in NL East)
St. Louis is pushing to stay in the NL Wild Card mix, while the Mets are trying to climb out of a slow start and regain consistency.
Recent Team Form
St. Louis Cardinals — Last 10 Games: 6–4
- Offense averaging 4.7 runs per game
- May has been excellent, showing improved command and swing‑and‑miss stuff
- Bullpen ERA over last 10 games: 3.12
- Cardinals have won four of their last five road games
New York Mets — Last 10 Games: 4–6
- Offense averaging 4.2 runs per game
- Peralta has been inconsistent but still flashes elite strikeout ability
- Bullpen remains volatile, especially in the 8th inning
- Mets have lost three straight home series
Injury Report
St. Louis Cardinals
- Nolan Arenado — Probable (back tightness)
- Tommy Edman — Out (wrist)
- Lars Nootbaar — Probable (hamstring)
- Ryan Helsley — Probable (shoulder fatigue)
New York Mets
- Francisco Lindor — Probable (ankle)
- Pete Alonso — Probable (hand)
- Kodai Senga — Out (shoulder)
- Brooks Raley — Out (elbow)
Key Player Matchups
Tink Hence May (STL) vs. Mets Lineup
May’s fastball/slider combo has been dominant, and the Mets’ lineup has struggled vs. high‑velocity right‑handers.
Key battlegrounds:
- May vs. Pete Alonso — Alonso’s power is the Mets’ best chance to break through.
- May vs. Francisco Lindor — Lindor’s switch‑hitting gives him flexibility, but he’s struggled vs. elite sliders.
- May vs. Brandon Nimmo — Nimmo’s patience could elevate May’s pitch count.
Freddy Peralta (NYM) vs. Cardinals Lineup
Peralta’s elite strikeout ability is offset by occasional command lapses, which St. Louis can exploit.
Key battlegrounds:
- Peralta vs. Paul Goldschmidt — Goldy crushes high fastballs, Peralta’s bread‑and‑butter.
- Peralta vs. Nolan Arenado — Arenado’s ability to hit breaking balls is crucial.
- Peralta vs. Jordan Walker — Walker’s power plays well to left field with wind blowing out.
Series History
- 2025 Season: Cardinals won 4–3
- 2026 Season: First meeting
- Trend: Cardinals have won six of the last nine matchups
- At Citi Field: Mets have won three of the last five
Betting Trends
St. Louis Cardinals
- 5–2 in last seven road games
- Under has hit in 6 of last 10
- Cardinals are 4–1 in May’s last five starts
New York Mets
- 3–7 in last ten home games
- Over has hit in 7 of last 10
- Mets are 2–5 in Peralta’s last seven starts
Head‑to‑Head Trends
- Cardinals are 7–3 in last ten vs. Mets
- Overs are 6–4 in those games
- Cardinals have covered the run line in five of the last seven meetings
Final Outlook
St. Louis enters with the better pitcher, deeper lineup, and stronger recent form. New York’s path to an upset relies heavily on Peralta delivering a high‑end outing and the offense capitalizing on rare mistakes from May.
St. Louis’ path to victory:
- Goldschmidt/Arenado driving the offense
- May dominating early
- Bullpen protecting a late lead
New York’s path:
- Alonso providing early power
- Peralta limiting walks
- Bullpen avoiding late‑inning collapse
Game Odds
St. Louis Cardinals 8
New York Mets – 126
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, June 8, 2026
