First Pitch: 7:10 PM CT
Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Capacity: 41,900
Surface: Kentucky Bluegrass
Roof: Retractable (expected closed)
Broadcast: Bally Sports Midwest, Bally Sports Wisconsin, MLB.TV
WEATHER REPORT — AMERICAN FAMILY FIELD (MILWAUKEE, WI)
Roof expected closed due to cool temperatures and wind.
- Outside Temp: 63°F
- Wind: 12–16 mph crosswind
- Humidity: 60%
- Rain: 20% chance (irrelevant with roof closed)
Ballpark Impact: With the roof closed, neutral to slightly pitcher‑friendly conditions. Ball does not carry as well indoors.
INJURY REPORT
St. Louis Cardinals
- Nolan Arenado — ACTIVE (back stiffness managed)
- Lars Nootbaar — QUESTIONABLE (hamstring tightness)
- Tommy Edman — IL (wrist)
- Steven Matz — IL (forearm)
- Ryan Helsley — ACTIVE (normal workload)
Milwaukee Brewers
- Christian Yelich — ACTIVE (quad soreness but expected to play)
- Willy Adames — QUESTIONABLE (hand contusion)
- Jackson Chourio — ACTIVE (minor ankle tweak)
- DL Hall — IL (shoulder)
- Closer Devin Williams — IL (back)
TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM
St. Louis Cardinals (29–24)
- Last 10 games: 6–4
- Road record: 13–12
- Run differential: +8
- Strength: Rotation stabilizing, improved OBP
- Weakness: Inconsistent middle relief
The Cardinals have won 5 of their last 7, with the rotation finally delivering quality starts.
Milwaukee Brewers (32–20)
- Last 10 games: 7–3
- Home record: 17–9
- Run differential: +31
- Strength: Athletic lineup, elite bullpen depth even without Williams
- Weakness: Back‑end rotation uncertainty
Milwaukee continues to lead the NL Central with a balanced attack and strong late‑inning performance.
STARTING PITCHING MATCHUP
Dustin May — RHP, Cardinals
- 2026 ERA: 3.54
- WHIP: 1.18
- K/BB: 3.8
- Last 3 starts: 17.2 IP, 7 ER, 19 K
- Pitch mix: 98 mph sinker, cutter, curve, change
May’s sinker/curve combo has been sharp since returning from injury. He generates elite ground‑ball rates and limits hard contact.
Concern: Brewers’ lineup excels vs high‑velocity sinkers (Yelich, Chourio, Hoskins).
Milwaukee Brewers — TBD
Milwaukee is expected to choose between:
Option 1 — Tyler Blackwell (RHP)
- ERA: 4.22
- Profile: Strike‑thrower, average velocity, relies on weak contact
- Issue: Cardinals hit soft‑tossing righties well
Option 2 — Bullpen Game
- Opener: Joel Payamps or Elvis Peguero
- Middle innings: Bryse Wilson, Aaron Ashby
- Brewers bullpen ERA last 10 games: 3.21
Advantage: Cardinals (starting pitching), Brewers (bullpen)
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. Paul Goldschmidt (STL) vs. Milwaukee RHPs
- Career at AmFam Field: .310 AVG, .940 OPS
- Crushes fastballs <95 mph
- If Brewers go with Blackwell, Goldy has a major edge
Edge: Cardinals
2. Christian Yelich (MIL) vs. Dustin May
- Yelich vs sinkers: .302 AVG, .520 SLG
- May’s sinker is elite, but Yelich handles velocity well
Edge: Even
3. Jackson Chourio (MIL) vs. Cardinals Bullpen
- Chourio has 5 HR in his last 12 games
- Cardinals middle relief has allowed the 3rd‑highest HR rate in NL over last 2 weeks
Edge: Brewers
4. Nolan Arenado (STL) vs. Milwaukee’s Soft‑Tossers
- Arenado excels vs pitchers who rely on command
- If Brewers use a bullpen game, he’ll see multiple favorable matchups
Edge: Cardinals
SERIES HISTORY
- 2026 season series: Brewers lead 2–1
- Last 20 meetings: Brewers 11, Cardinals 9
- At American Family Field since 2023: Brewers 19–15
- Average runs per game: 8.2
Milwaukee has had a slight edge in recent years, especially at home.
BETTING TRENDS
St. Louis Cardinals
- 5–2 last 7 games
- 4–1 last 5 road games
- Under is 6–3 in last 9 May starts
Milwaukee Brewers
- 7–3 last 10 games
- 6–1 last 7 home games
- Under is 5–2 in last 7 at AmFam Field
Head‑to‑Head
- Brewers are 4–1 in last 5 meetings
- Under is 5–2 in last 7 matchups
- First‑five innings Under is 6–3 in last 9
Game Odds
St. Louis Cardinals 8.5
Milwaukee Brewers – 155
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, May 26, 2026
