Venue and first pitch:
Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York.
First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET.
TV/streaming options include YES Network, Mariners.TV, and platforms such as Fubo.
This is the series finale; the Yankees lead the three-game set 2-0 after wins of 4-1 and 10-5.
Weather forecast: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy with highs in the mid-to-upper 80s°F (around 83–86°F). Low chance of showers or isolated storms earlier in the day (generally under 30%), improving to drier conditions by game time. Northwest winds around 5–12 mph. Comfortable late-summer conditions with limited precipitation risk expected during the afternoon contest.
Probable starters:
Mariners: RHP Logan Gilbert (8-7, 3.42 ERA, ≈1.00 WHIP, 145 K in 139.1 IP). Seattle’s ace has been reliable with strong strikeout numbers and control. He has struggled historically against the Yankees (career 2-4, 6.80 ERA in limited starts) but brings solid recent form and road numbers.
Yankees: LHP Max Fried (4-3, 2.88 ERA, ≈0.97 WHIP, 75 K in 81.1 IP). The veteran left-hander has been excellent this season with elite underlying metrics and very few home runs allowed. Strong career numbers vs. Mariners (including a scoreless outing earlier in 2026).
Current key roster notes / top performers:
Mariners lineup centers on Julio Rodríguez (power ≈18–19 HR), Randy Arozarena (hot recently with multi-game HR streak and solid AVG ≈.276), Josh Naylor, Dominic Canzone, and supporting pieces. Team AVG is low (≈.228) with solid power (≈138–141 HR) but struggles overall on the road. Pitching staff ERA is respectable (≈3.79–3.85). Yankees feature Trent Grisham (hot with multi-HR games and recent production), Ben Rice (power leader ≈32 HR, high RBI), Spencer Jones, and others filling in. Strong team slugging (top in AL at ≈.413) and power (≈167–169 HR) despite missing key pieces. Excellent team ERA (≈3.28–3.30). Second in the AL East.
Injury reports (latest available):
Mariners: J.P. Crawford (10-day IL, wrist); Luke Raley (10-day IL, forearm/elbow); Matt Brash (15-day IL, lat); Cole Wilcox (15-day IL, oblique); 60-day IL includes Will Wilson (thumb), Carlos Vargas (lat), Cooper Criswell (shoulder), Logan Evans (arm); day-to-day notes for Cole Young (head/dizziness) and Gabe Speier (back).
Yankees: Cody Bellinger (10-day IL, leg/hamstring); Giancarlo Stanton (10-day IL, leg/calf); Carlos Rodón (15-day IL, elbow); Kervin Castro (15-day IL, elbow); Aaron Judge (60-day IL, rib); Clarke Schmidt (60-day IL, elbow).
Key player vs. player / matchup notes:
Gilbert’s power arsenal and K ability will be tested by a Yankees lineup that has shown power and timely hitting in this series (Grisham multi-HR, Rice production). Fried’s elite control, low HR rate, and left-handed look pose problems for a Mariners offense that has been ice-cold (losing streak, low AVG). Historical edge to Fried vs. Seattle; Gilbert has had tougher results against New York. Yankees’ home power advantage at Yankee Stadium is a factor.
Recent team forms:
Mariners: Poor (0-5 last 5; 3-7 last 10; six-game losing streak overall and extended road struggles). Third in the AL West and well under .500.
Yankees: Strong (4-1 last 5; 6-4 last 10). Taking the first two of this series and sitting second in the competitive AL East with excellent pitching.
Series history: Yankees lead the current three-game set 2-0 and hold a 4-1 or better edge in the 2026 season series. New York has dominated recent matchups at home.
Game Odds
Seattle Mariners 7.5
New York Yankees – 159
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, August 12, 2026
