First pitch: 10:10 p.m. ET / 7:10 p.m. PT
Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California
Venue and weather
Ballpark: Dodger Stadium
Setting: Night game in Chavez Ravine
Gametime weather: ~81°F, typical dry Southern California evening, light winds, minimal rain risk
Conditions are neutral‑to‑hitter‑friendly: warm air, no marine layer issues as severe as a true late‑night start, but still a park that historically plays slightly pitcher‑friendly.
Probable pitchers
| Team | Pitcher | Hand | 2026 W–L | ERA | WHIP | Notes |
| Mariners | Bryan Woo | RHP | 7–7 | 4.37 | 1.14 | Strike‑thrower, vulnerable to HRs |
| Dodgers | Roki Sasaki | RHP | 4–5 | 4.71 | 1.29 | Electric stuff, trending up last two starts |
Bryan Woo (SEA)
Profile: 4.37 ERA, 115.1 IP, 114 K, 24 BB, 12 HR allowed
Recent form: 6.38 FIP over his last 11 innings, 2.45 HR/9 in that span—hard contact and long balls have been an issue.
Path to success: Needs to keep the ball in the yard and avoid walks; Dodgers punish mistakes with traffic on base.
Roki Sasaki (LAD)
Profile: 4.71 ERA, 93.2 IP, 94 K, 36 BB, 20 HR allowed
Recent form: 2.64 FIP over his last two starts, 0.71 HR/9, 36.9% hard‑hit rate, no barrels allowed in that stretch.
Path to success: Miss‑bat potential vs a high‑strikeout Seattle lineup; if he commands the fastball/splitter, he can work deep and hand off a lead.
Team statistical snapshot
| Stat (2026) | Mariners | Dodgers |
| Record | 53–56 | 68–40 |
| Team AVG | .230 | .262 |
| Runs | 438 | 556 |
| HR | 129 | 139 |
| OBP | .309 | .341 |
| SLG | .379 | .433 |
| ERA | 3.71 | 3.59 |
| WHIP | 1.19 | 1.13 |
Seattle brings a top‑10 pitching staff but a bottom‑tier offense (4.0 runs per game, 28th in MLB), while Los Angeles pairs a strong rotation with a top‑tier lineup.
Current rosters — key bats and arms
Seattle Mariners — impact players
Dominic Canzone (DH): 18 HR, 49 RBI, .264 AVG—primary power source.
Randy Arozarena (LF): .278 AVG, .371 OBP, .445 SLG—on‑base engine and gap power.
Rotation core: Woo plus a staff with 3.71 ERA, 1.18–1.19 WHIP, strong K/BB (3.43).
Bullpen: 25 saves, 16 blown, 61% save rate; 58 holds, solid but not elite.
Los Angeles Dodgers — impact players
Shohei Ohtani (DH): 23 HR, .289 AVG, 65 RBI—middle‑order terror.
Freddie Freeman (1B): .302 AVG, .380 OBP, .487 SLG—elite contact and on‑base skills.
Andy Pages (CF): 18 HR, 71 RBI, .267 AVG—run‑production machine.
Lineup form: 118 wRC+ over previous five games—offense trending up.
Injury reports
Mariners injuries
Brendan Donovan (3B): 10‑day IL (est. return July 30)
Carlos Vargas (RP): 60‑day IL (est. Aug 3)
Matt Brash (RP): 15‑day IL (est. Aug 3)
Will Wilson (3B): 60‑day IL (est. Aug 6)
Cooper Criswell (RP): 60‑day IL (est. Aug 8)
Seattle’s bullpen depth is thinned by multiple IL stints, but the group has still posted an excellent recent FIP (1.86 over the last week).
Dodgers injuries
Ben Casparius (RP): 60‑day IL (est. Aug 1)
Bobby Miller (SP): 60‑day IL (est. Aug 5)
Gavin Stone (SP): 60‑day IL (est. Aug 5)
Blake Treinen (RP): 15‑day IL (est. Aug 9)
Blake Snell (SP): 60‑day IL (est. Aug 11)
Rotation depth is compromised, but Sasaki plus a deep pen still give Los Angeles multiple paths to cover nine innings, even with the bullpen’s recent 6.54 FIP over the last week.
Recent form and series context
Last 5 games
Mariners: L 4–2 @ LAD, W 7–6 @ LAD, L 7–3 @ TEX, W 6–4 @ TEX, L 7–1 @ TEX
Dodgers: W 4–2 vs SEA, L 7–6 vs SEA, L 8–3 @ NYM, W 4–3 @ NYM, W 4–2 @ NYM
Series vs Dodgers: tied 1–1 entering this finale, with a 7–6 Seattle win and 4–2 Dodgers win—both competitive, mid‑total games.
Offensive/defensive trends
Seattle: 103 wRC+ over last six games—respectable but not explosive.
Dodgers: 118 wRC+ over last five—lineup heating up.
Seattle’s road offense has struggled all year; their road team totals have gone under in 35 of 56 decisions. Dodgers home team totals are 34–18 toward the under, and overall home games are 30 unders vs 22 overs.
Key player vs. player matchups
Bryan Woo vs. Shohei Ohtani / Freddie Freeman
Woo’s challenge: Limiting HRs and hard contact vs two elite left‑hand bats.
Ohtani: Punishes elevated fastballs and mistakes middle‑in; Woo’s HR issues make this a high‑leverage matchup.
Freeman: Will extend at‑bats, drive pitch counts, and exploit any command lapses.
Edge: Dodgers—Ohtani/Freeman vs a homer‑prone righty is a clear danger zone.
Roki Sasaki vs. Dominic Canzone / Randy Arozarena
Sasaki’s recent form: No barrels allowed in last two starts, improved HR suppression.
Canzone: Primary power threat; if Sasaki keeps him in the park, Seattle’s run ceiling drops.
Arozarena: OBP threat; if he reaches, Canzone and others get RBI chances.
Edge: Slight Dodgers—Sasaki’s swing‑and‑miss profile vs a high‑K lineup.
Bullpens
Mariners pen: 1.86 FIP over last week—excellent recent performance.
Dodgers pen: 6.54 FIP over last week—vulnerable late.
If Woo and Sasaki both exit around the sixth, late‑inning leverage could tilt toward Seattle, especially if they’re within a run.
Betting market and trends
Dodgers have been favored in 104 games, winning 66 (63.5%); 46–28 when -156 or shorter.
Mariners are 5–11 as moneyline underdogs.
Dodgers home games lean under; Seattle road team totals lean under.
Game Odds
Seattle Mariners 8.5
Los Angeles Dodgers – 150
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, July 29, 2026
