First Pitch: 6:40 PM ET
Venue: loanDepot Park – Miami, Florida
Surface: Artificial turf
Capacity: ~37,000
Park Profile: Pitcher‑friendly; suppresses HRs, rewards line‑drive hitters
Weather Update
loanDepot Park is a domed stadium, so weather does not impact gameplay.
Outside conditions (for travel only):
- Temperature: 89°F (32°C)
- Humidity: 72%
- Wind: 10–14 mph None of this affects the indoor environment.
Injury Report
Seattle Mariners (47–45)
- Julio Rodríguez (OF): Available – minor ankle soreness; cleared.
- Cal Raleigh (C): Probable – knee bruise; expected to start.
- Ty France (1B): Out – wrist fracture; 2–3 weeks.
- Matt Brash (RP): Out – elbow inflammation; 10‑day IL.
- Team Status: Lineup mostly intact; bullpen missing a key leverage arm.
Miami Marlins (50–42)
- Jazz Chisholm Jr. (CF): Available – full workload.
- Jake Burger (3B): Probable – hamstring tightness; likely to play.
- Jesús Luzardo (SP): Out – shoulder strain; 3–4 weeks.
- A.J. Puk (RP): Out – back tightness; 1–2 weeks.
- Team Status: Lineup healthy; rotation missing Luzardo’s swing‑and‑miss ability.
Team Records & Recent Form
Seattle Mariners
- Record: 47–45 (3rd in AL West)
- Last 10 Games: 5–5
- Road Record: 22–25
- Run Differential: +14
- Trend: Pitching strong; offense inconsistent.
Miami Marlins
- Record: 50–42 (2nd in NL East)
- Last 10 Games: 6–4
- Home Record: 27–18
- Run Differential: +22
- Trend: Offense heating up; bullpen stabilizing.
Starting Pitching Matchup
George Kirby – RHP, Mariners
- 2026 Stats: 3.32 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 102 K, 18 BB
- Last 5 Starts: 3–1, 2.85 ERA
- Strengths: Elite command, low walk rate, strong road splits.
- Weaknesses: Occasional HR issues when fastball elevates.
- Matchup Note: Marlins’ lineup is aggressive — Kirby’s command can exploit chase tendencies.
Tyler Phillips – RHP, Marlins
- 2026 Stats: 3.94 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 66 K, 24 BB
- Last 5 Starts: 2–2, 4.10 ERA
- Strengths: Ground‑ball profile, good sinker/slider mix.
- Weaknesses: Limited swing‑and‑miss; vulnerable to right‑handed power.
- Matchup Note: Mariners’ right‑handed core (Rodríguez, Raleigh, Haniger) matches up well.
Key Player Matchups
1. Julio Rodríguez (SEA) vs. Tyler Phillips
Rodríguez’s elite bat speed vs Phillips’ sinker. If Julio gets lift, he can overcome the park’s HR suppression.
2. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) vs. George Kirby
Chisholm’s aggressive approach vs Kirby’s pinpoint command. If Jazz expands the zone, Kirby wins this matchup.
3. Cal Raleigh (SEA) vs. Marlins Bullpen
Raleigh’s switch‑hitting power is dangerous late, especially vs Miami’s right‑handed relievers.
4. Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) vs. Kirby
De La Cruz’s ability to hit velocity makes him Miami’s best matchup vs Kirby.
Series History
- 2026 Season Series: First meeting
- 2025 Season Series: Mariners won 2–1
- At loanDepot Park (last 10 games): Even split, 5–5 Seattle has historically played well in Miami despite the park’s pitcher‑friendly nature.
Betting Trends
Seattle Mariners
- 5–5 in last 10 games
- Under has hit in 6 of last 8 road games
- Mariners are 4–6 vs NL East in last 10
- Kirby starts: Mariners 11–7 this season
Miami Marlins
- 6–4 in last 10 games
- Under has hit in 5 of last 7 home games
- Marlins are 7–3 vs teams above .500
- Phillips starts: Marlins 8–6 this season
Game Odds
Seattle Mariners – 122
Miami Marlins 8.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, July 7, 2026
