First Pitch: 6:35 PM ET
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland
Probable Pitchers:
- SEA: Logan Gilbert (RHP)
- BAL: Tyler Rogers (RHP)
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
- Location: Baltimore, MD
- Capacity: ~45,000
- Park Factors:
- Left‑field wall adjustments continue to suppress right‑handed home runs
- Right‑center alley remains hitter‑friendly
- Plays neutral overall but weather can swing it
- Surface: Natural grass, typically fast in warm weather
Weather Forecast (Baltimore, MD)
- Temperature: 78–82°F at first pitch
- Wind: 7–11 mph blowing out to right
- Humidity: ~60%
- Chance of Rain: <10%
- Impact:
- Boost to left‑handed power
- Warm air increases carry on fly balls
- Slightly hitter‑friendly conditions
Team Records & Standings
- Seattle Mariners: 35–32 (2nd in AL West)
- Baltimore Orioles: 31–36 (4th in AL East)
Seattle is pushing to stay above .500 and in the Wild Card mix. Baltimore is trying to climb out of a slow start and stabilize inconsistent pitching.
Recent Team Form
Seattle Mariners — Last 10 Games: 6–4
- Offense averaging 4.7 runs per game
- Gilbert has been excellent, posting a sub‑3.00 ERA over his last five starts
- Bullpen ERA over last 10 games: 3.22
- Mariners have won four of their last five road games
Baltimore Orioles — Last 10 Games: 4–6
- Offense averaging 4.3 runs per game
- Rogers has been inconsistent, struggling with command and hard contact
- Bullpen has been volatile, especially in the 7th–8th innings
- Orioles have lost three straight home series
Injury Report
Seattle Mariners
- Julio Rodríguez — Probable (wrist)
- Ty France — Probable (back)
- Andrés Muñoz — Probable (shoulder fatigue)
- J.P. Crawford — Out (hamstring)
Baltimore Orioles
- Gunnar Henderson — Probable (ankle)
- Adley Rutschman — Probable (hand)
- John Means — Out (elbow)
- Félix Bautista — Out (Tommy John recovery)
Baltimore’s bullpen remains thin without Bautista, while Seattle’s lineup is healthier than it has been in weeks.
Key Player Matchups
Logan Gilbert (SEA) vs. Orioles Lineup
Gilbert’s elite command and high‑spin fastball give him a strong matchup against Baltimore’s right‑heavy lineup.
Key battlegrounds:
- Gilbert vs. Gunnar Henderson — Henderson’s pull power is dangerous with wind blowing out.
- Gilbert vs. Adley Rutschman — Rutschman’s plate discipline could elevate pitch count.
- Gilbert vs. Anthony Santander — Santander hits velocity well but struggles vs. elevated fastballs.
Tyler Rogers (BAL) vs. Mariners Lineup
Rogers’ low‑slot delivery is unique, but Seattle’s lineup has several hitters who excel vs. sinkers and sliders.
Key battlegrounds:
- Rogers vs. Julio Rodríguez — J‑Rod’s ability to stay back on breaking balls is key.
- Rogers vs. Cal Raleigh — Raleigh’s left‑handed power plays well in this weather.
- Rogers vs. Mitch Haniger — Haniger’s pull power could punish mistakes.
Series History
- 2025 Season: Mariners won 4–3
- 2026 Season: First meeting
- Trend: Seattle has won six of the last nine matchups
- At Camden Yards: Mariners have won three straight
Betting Trends
Seattle Mariners
- 5–2 in last seven road games
- Under has hit in 6 of last 10
- Mariners are 6–1 in Gilbert’s last seven starts
Baltimore Orioles
- 3–7 in last ten home games
- Over has hit in 7 of last 10
- Orioles are 2–5 in Rogers’ last seven starts
Head‑to‑Head Trends
- Mariners are 7–3 in last ten vs. Orioles
- Overs are 6–4 in those games
- Seattle has covered the run line in five of the last seven meetings
Final Outlook
Seattle enters with the better pitcher, deeper bullpen, and stronger recent form. Baltimore’s path to an upset relies heavily on Henderson and Rutschman producing early and Rogers avoiding hard contact.
Seattle’s path to victory:
- Gilbert dominating early
- J‑Rod/Raleigh driving the offense
- Bullpen protecting a late lead
Baltimore’s path:
- Henderson sparking the offense
- Rogers generating ground balls
- Avoiding bullpen collapse
GAME ODDS
Seattle Mariners – 122
Baltimore Orioles 8.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, June 8, 2026
