First Pitch: 1:10 PM PDT
Venue & Conditions
Dodger Stadium
Surface: Natural grass
Dimensions: 330 LF / 395 CF / 330 RF
Ballpark Profile: Slightly pitcher‑friendly during day games; marine layer early, but afternoon warmth boosts carry.
Weather Forecast — Los Angeles, CA
Temperature: 82–86°F
Conditions: Sunny, warm
Wind: Blowing out to LF at 8–12 mph
Rain Chance: <5%
Impact: Afternoon warmth + LF wind increases HR potential for right‑handed pull hitters.
Team Overview
San Diego Padres (43–45)
Last 10 Games: 5–5
Road Record: 20–23
Run Differential: -18
Recent Form: Rotation competitive; offense inconsistent; bullpen shaky in late innings.
Los Angeles Dodgers (59–31)
Last 10 Games: 7–3
Home Record: 31–14
Run Differential: +78
Recent Form: Offense surging; rotation dominant; bullpen among MLB’s best.
Starting Pitchers
San Diego — LHP Sears
2026 Stats:
ERA: 4.22
WHIP: 1.29
K/9: 8.1
BB/9: 2.8
Recent Starts: 6 IP, 2 ER; 5 IP, 4 ER; 6.1 IP, 3 ER
Profile:
Fastball/slider mix
Generates weak contact when sharp
Struggles vs. right‑handed power
Matchup Outlook:
Dodgers’ right‑handed core (Betts, Smith, Freeman from right side) pose major threats
LF wind increases HR risk if Sears elevates pitches
Los Angeles — RHP Emmet Sheehan
2026 Stats:
ERA: 3.28
WHIP: 1.18
K/9: 10.4
BB/9: 2.6
Recent Starts: 7 IP, 1 ER; 6 IP, 2 ER; 5 IP, 3 ER
Profile:
Power fastball with late life
Excellent vs. left‑handed hitters
Generates swing‑and‑miss up in the zone
Matchup Outlook:
Padres’ lefties (Soto, Cronenworth) must adjust to elevated fastball
Sheehan’s strikeout profile matches well vs. San Diego’s swing‑and‑miss tendencies
Injury Report
San Diego
OUT:
RP Robert Suarez — elbow soreness
QUESTIONABLE:
OF Fernando Tatis Jr. — minor wrist tightness
ACTIVE:
Juan Soto fully healthy
Manny Machado available
Los Angeles
OUT:
RP Blake Treinen — shoulder inflammation
QUESTIONABLE:
OF Teoscar Hernández — minor hamstring tightness
ACTIVE:
Mookie Betts fully healthy
Freddie Freeman available
Key Player Matchups
1. Mookie Betts (LAD) vs. Sears (SD)
Betts crushes left‑handed pitching
Sears must avoid middle‑in fastballs
2. Juan Soto (SD) vs. Emmet Sheehan (LAD)
Soto’s plate discipline vs. Sheehan’s elevated heater
LF wind boosts Soto’s HR potential
3. Freddie Freeman (LAD) vs. Padres Bullpen
Freeman’s late‑inning approach is elite
Padres’ bullpen allows high hard‑contact rates
4. Manny Machado (SD) vs. Sheehan
Machado excels vs. high‑velocity fastballs
Sheehan must keep slider sharp
Series History
2026 Season Series: Dodgers lead 3–1
Last 10 Meetings: Dodgers 7–3
Trend: Los Angeles has dominated at home; Padres struggle in late‑inning matchups at Dodger Stadium.
Recent Team Form
Padres
Offense averaging 4.2 runs over last 10
Rotation ERA last week: 3.89
Bullpen ERA: 4.91
Dodgers
Offense averaging 5.3 runs over last 10
Rotation ERA last week: 3.22
Bullpen ERA: 3.41
Betting Trends
Padres are 3–7 in their last 10 road games
Dodgers are 9–3 in their last 12 home games
Over has hit in 6 of last 9 Dodgers home games
Dodgers are 12–4 in Sheehan’s last 16 starts
Padres are 4–9 in Sears’ last 13 starts
Game Odds
San Diego Padres 9.5
Los Angeles Dodgers – 202
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, July 4, 2026
