Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards — Baltimore, Maryland
First Pitch: 4:05 PM ET
Broadcast: MLB.TV / MASN / Bally Sports San Diego
Weather Forecast — Baltimore, MD
- Temperature: 84–87°F at first pitch
- Wind: 8–12 mph blowing out to left field
- Humidity: ~58%
- Rain: <10% — warm, dry, slightly hitter-friendly
- Impact: Boost to right-handed pull hitters, especially those who elevate the ball.
Injury Report
San Diego Padres
- SP Joe Musgrove — OUT (shoulder)
- RP Robert Suarez — 15-day IL (forearm tightness)
- OF Fernando Tatis Jr. — Probable (quad tightness; expected to play)
- C Luis Campusano — Day-to-day (hand bruise)
Baltimore Orioles
- SP Grayson Rodriguez — OUT (lat strain)
- RP Danny Coulombe — 15-day IL (elbow)
- OF Austin Hays — Day-to-day (hamstring)
- SS Gunnar Henderson — Healthy after minor ankle scare earlier in week
Team Records & Recent Form
San Diego Padres (35–33)
- Last 10: 6–4
- Trend: Pitching stabilizing; offense inconsistent but explosive in spurts.
- Road Record: 18–17
- Run Differential: +9
- Key Note: Padres have been strong vs AL opponents (7–3 last 10).
Baltimore Orioles (34–37)
- Last 10: 4–6
- Trend: Offense slumping; pitching staff struggling with injuries.
- Home Record: 17–18
- Run Differential: -14
- Key Note: Orioles have allowed 5.1 runs per game over last 12.
Starting Pitching Matchup
San Diego — RHP Ramón Vásquez
- Record: 3–2
- ERA: 3.74
- WHIP: 1.18
- K/BB: 41/14
- Profile:
- Sinker/slider righty with excellent command.
- Generates 52% ground balls, limiting big innings.
- Vulnerable to left-handed hitters when slider flattens.
- Matchup Notes:
- Orioles’ lefties (Henderson, O’Hearn) are the key threats.
- Camden Yards’ deep left field helps Vásquez’s fly-ball suppression.
Baltimore — RHP Kyle Gibson
- Record: 4–6
- ERA: 4.89
- WHIP: 1.36
- K/BB: 56/20
- Profile:
- Veteran sinkerballer with a deep pitch mix.
- When command is sharp, he induces weak contact; when not, he’s hittable.
- Home ERA: 5.12, struggles with HRs at Camden Yards.
- Matchup Notes:
- Padres’ right-handed power (Machado, Tatis, Bogaerts) is a tough matchup.
- Gibson’s sinker tends to leak arm-side — dangerous vs pull-heavy hitters.
Key Player Matchups
San Diego Padres
- Manny Machado vs Gibson: Career .333 with strong slugging; sees Gibson well.
- Fernando Tatis Jr.: Power-speed threat; wind blowing out to left benefits him.
- Xander Bogaerts: Excellent vs sinkers; high contact rate.
Baltimore Orioles
- Gunnar Henderson: Orioles’ best matchup vs Vásquez; crushes sliders.
- Ryan Mountcastle: Hot streak (.318 last 10 games); big pull power.
- Adley Rutschman: Switch-hitter who handles sinkers well.
Series History
- 2023–2026 Combined: Padres lead 7–5
- At Camden Yards: Padres lead 4–2
- Trend: Padres have outscored Baltimore 31–22 over last 6 meetings.
Betting Trends
San Diego
- Padres 6–2 last 8 road games
- Under in 5 of last 7
- Padres 7–3 last 10 vs AL East
Baltimore
- Orioles 3–7 last 10 overall
- Over is 6–3 in last 9 home games
- Orioles 2–5 in Gibson’s last 7 starts
Head-to-Head
- Padres have won 4 straight vs Baltimore
- Over is 4–1 in last 5 meetings
Game Odds
San Diego Padres 10
Baltimore Orioles – 115
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, June 12, 2026
