Venue: American Family Field — Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Scheduled First Pitch: 7:10 p.m. CT / 8:10 p.m. ET
Weather Forecast — Milwaukee, WI
American Family Field has a retractable roof; weather matters only if open.
Temperature: 81°F
Wind: Light WNW 5–7 mph
Conditions: Clear, low humidity
Impact: If roof is open, mild boost to fly balls; otherwise neutral indoor conditions
CURRENT ROSTERS
Pittsburgh Pirates
Rotation: Brandon Ashcraft, Paul Skenes, Jared Jones, Mitch Keller
Bullpen: David Bednar, Aroldis Chapman, Colin Holderman, Carmen Mlodzinski
Lineup:
Oneil Cruz (SS)
Bryan Reynolds (LF)
Ke’Bryan Hayes (3B)
Rowdy Tellez (1B)
Henry Davis (C)
Jack Suwinski (RF)
Michael A. Taylor (CF)
Nick Gonzales (2B)
Andrew McCutchen (DH)
Milwaukee Brewers
Rotation: Dustin May, Freddy Peralta, DL Hall, Tobias Myers
Bullpen: Devin Williams, Joel Payamps, Trevor Megill, Hoby Milner
Lineup:
Brice Turang (2B)
Christian Yelich (LF)
Willy Adames (SS)
Rhys Hoskins (1B)
Jackson Chourio (RF)
Sal Frelick (CF)
Joey Ortiz (3B)
Gary Sánchez (C)
Jake Bauers (DH)
INJURY REPORT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Ke’Bryan Hayes — Probable (wrist)
Aroldis Chapman — Questionable (back tightness)
Mitch Keller — Out (shoulder)
Milwaukee Brewers
Devin Williams — Questionable (forearm)
Jackson Chourio — Probable (ankle)
DL Hall — Out (lat)
RECENT TEAM FORM
Pittsburgh Pirates — Last 10 Games: 4–6
Offense averaging 4.1 runs/game
Cruz hitting .310 over last 15 games
Reynolds slugging .520 over last 20
Bullpen ERA: 4.89 last 10
Pirates have lost 6 of last 8 road games
Milwaukee Brewers — Last 10 Games: 7–3
Offense averaging 5.4 runs/game
Yelich hitting .333 over last 12
Hoskins with 5 HR in last 10
Brewers bullpen ERA: 3.12 last 10
Milwaukee has won 8 straight at home
STARTING PITCHER BREAKDOWN
Brandon Ashcraft — RHP, Pirates
2026 ERA: 4.58
WHIP: 1.34
Strengths: Heavy sinker, induces ground balls
Weaknesses: Struggles vs. left‑handed power; command can drift
Matchup Concern: Yelich + Turang + Frelick all profile well vs. Ashcraft’s sinker/slider mix
Dustin May — RHP, Brewers
2026 ERA: 3.21
WHIP: 1.18
Strengths: Elite movement, high ground‑ball rate, swing‑and‑miss curve
Weaknesses: Occasional walk spikes; Pirates’ lefties (Reynolds, Tellez) hit high‑velo well
Matchup Advantage: His two‑seamer neutralizes Cruz’s inside‑out swing
KEY PLAYER VS. PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. Christian Yelich vs. Brandon Ashcraft
Yelich thrives vs. sinkerballers.
Ashcraft’s pitch profile plays directly into Yelich’s strengths.
Edge: Yelich
2. Oneil Cruz vs. Dustin May
Cruz’s long swing struggles vs. elite movement.
May’s two‑seamer/curve combo is a nightmare matchup.
Edge: May
3. Rhys Hoskins vs. Pirates Bullpen
Hoskins has been red‑hot and crushes late‑inning fastballs.
Pirates’ bullpen has allowed 8 HR in last 10 games.
Edge: Hoskins
4. Bryan Reynolds vs. Brewers Outfield
Reynolds’ gap‑to‑gap power plays well in Milwaukee.
Frelick’s range may limit extra‑base hits.
Edge: Slight to Reynolds
SERIES HISTORY
2026 Season: Brewers lead 5–1
Last 20 Meetings: Brewers 14–6
Brewers have won nine straight home games vs. Pirates
Average margin at American Family Field last 10: Brewers +3.1
BETTING TRENDS
Pittsburgh Pirates
ATS (Run Line): 55–61
O/U: Over in 6 of last 10
Road O/U: Over in 7 of last 10
Pirates overs hit due to pitching inconsistency.
Milwaukee Brewers
ATS (Run Line): 69–45
O/U: Under in 6 of last 10
Home ATS: 36–22
Brewers unders hit due to strong pitching at home.
Head‑to‑Head Trends
Brewers have covered run line in 7 of last 8
Over has hit in 5 of last 7
Yelich has HR in 3 of last 4 vs. Pittsburgh
GAME ODDS
Pittsburgh Pirates 9
Milwaukee Brewers – 142
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, August 5, 2026
