First Pitch: 8:10 p.m. ET / 7:10 p.m. CT
Venue: Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois
Surface: Natural grass
Capacity: 40,615
Venue & Weather
Guaranteed Rate Field is a hitter‑leaning park, especially for right‑hand power.
Temperature: ~83°F at first pitch
Wind: 8–12 mph blowing out to left
Humidity: Moderate
Rain: <10% chance
Warm air + outbound wind = boost for HRs, especially for pull‑side right‑hand hitters.
Probable Pitchers — Deep Breakdown
Ryan Weathers — LHP, Yankees
2026 Stats:
Record: 7–7
ERA: 4.12
WHIP: 1.29
HR Allowed: 13
K/BB: 98/32
Profile: Weathers mixes a four‑seam/slider/changeup combo. His slider is his best pitch, holding opponents under a .215 average. His challenge: right‑hand power hitters who handle elevated fastballs.
Recent Form:
Last 4 starts: 3.54 ERA, 1.22 WHIP
Opponents hitting .238 in July
Yankees are 5–2 in his last seven starts
Matchup Outlook: Chicago’s lineup is right‑hand heavy and aggressive early in counts. Weathers must keep the ball down and avoid middle‑in fastballs.
Shane Burke — RHP, White Sox
2026 Stats:
Record: 6–5
ERA: 4.47
WHIP: 1.36
HR Allowed: 14
K/BB: 81/28
Profile: Burke is a sinker/slider righty with average command. When he gets ahead, he induces grounders; when behind, he becomes extremely hittable.
Recent Form:
Last 3 starts: 5.02 ERA, 1.48 WHIP
Opponents slugging .452 in July
White Sox are 4–6 in his last ten starts
Matchup Outlook: The Yankees’ lineup is top‑five in hard‑hit rate and top‑three in HRs vs RHP. Burke’s sinker is a bad matchup against New York’s power bats.
Current Rosters — Key Contributors
New York Yankees
Lineup Core:
Aaron Judge (RF): .278 AVG, 32 HR — elite barrel rate
Juan Soto (LF): .301 AVG, 27 HR — top‑tier OBP + power
Giancarlo Stanton (DH): .242 AVG, 21 HR — still dangerous vs RHP
Anthony Volpe (SS): .256 AVG, 14 HR, 27 SB — speed + pop
Gleyber Torres (2B): .263 AVG, 16 HR — strong vs sinkers
Pitching/Relief:
Bullpen ERA: 3.45
Save rate: 71%
Strength: elite late‑inning strikeouts
Weakness: occasional HRs allowed in high‑leverage spots
Chicago White Sox
Lineup Core:
Luis Robert Jr. (CF): .271 AVG, 25 HR — elite vs LHP
Eloy Jiménez (DH): .266 AVG, 18 HR — strong vs elevated fastballs
Andrew Vaughn (1B): .258 AVG, 15 HR — contact/power blend
Yoán Moncada (3B): .247 AVG, 11 HR — switch‑hitter with OBP value
Colson Montgomery (SS): .254 AVG — emerging young bat
Pitching/Relief:
Bullpen ERA: 4.12
Save rate: 58%
Strength: left‑hand relievers
Weakness: HRs allowed in leverage spots
Injury Report
Yankees
Nestor Cortes (SP): 15‑day IL (shoulder)
Jonathan Loáisiga (RP): 15‑day IL (elbow)
DJ LeMahieu (INF): Day‑to‑day (foot)
White Sox
Tim Anderson (SS): 10‑day IL (hamstring)
Michael Kopech (SP): 60‑day IL (elbow)
Garrett Crochet (RP): Day‑to‑day (forearm)
Yankees retain their full offensive core; Chicago is missing Anderson’s speed and OBP.
Recent Team Form
New York Yankees
Last 10 games: 7–3
Runs per game: 5.2
Team OPS: .755
Pitching ERA: 3.62
Yankees are trending upward and have won three straight series.
Chicago White Sox
Last 10 games: 5–5
Runs per game: 4.4
Team OPS: .708
Pitching ERA: 4.21
White Sox remain competitive but inconsistent.
Series History
Season series: Yankees lead 3–2
At Guaranteed Rate Field: Yankees have won 7 of the last 11
8 of the last 12 matchups have gone over the total.
Key Matchups
Aaron Judge vs Shane Burke
Judge destroys sinkers and sliders. Edge: Judge — HR potential.
Luis Robert Jr. vs Ryan Weathers
Robert is elite vs LHP and crushes elevated fastballs. Edge: Robert — major extra‑base hit potential.
Juan Soto vs Burke
Soto’s plate discipline vs Burke’s inconsistent command is a mismatch. Edge: Soto — OBP + power threat.
White Sox Bullpen vs Yankees Middle Order
Chicago’s bullpen allows too many late HRs. Edge: Yankees — late‑inning scoring likely.
Betting Trends
Yankees
61–47 overall
29–24 on the road
52–54–2 O/U
35–19 as favorites
White Sox
56–51 overall
30–25 at home
48–57–3 O/U
23–40 as underdogs
Game Odds
New York Yankees 7.5
Chicago White Sox – 111
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, July 29, 2026
