First Pitch: 2:10 PM ET / 1:10 PM CT
Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Surface: Artificial turf
Roof: Retractable (expected closed)
Series: Game 3 of 3 (Series tied 1–1)
Weather Report (Roof Impact)
Although American Family Field is a retractable‑roof stadium, outside conditions still influence roof decisions.
- Outside Temperature: 63–66°F
- Conditions: Partly cloudy
- Wind: 12–16 mph from the southwest
- Roof Expectation: Closed due to wind and cooler temps
- Impact:
- Closed roof → neutral to slightly pitcher‑friendly.
- Home run carry reduced compared to open‑roof conditions.
- Run scoring depends heavily on starting pitching quality.
Injury Report
New York Yankees
- RF Aaron Judge — Healthy (no restrictions)
- 1B Anthony Rizzo — OUT (back inflammation)
- SP Carlos Rodón — OUT (forearm strain)
- RP Jonathan Loáisiga — OUT (elbow)
- OF Jasson Domínguez — Day-to-day (hamstring tightness)
- RP Clay Holmes — Healthy (closing duties)
Milwaukee Brewers
- OF Christian Yelich — OUT (back soreness)
- SP Freddy Peralta — OUT (shoulder fatigue)
- RP Devin Williams — OUT (back surgery)
- C William Contreras — Healthy (no restrictions)
- OF Jackson Chourio — Day-to-day (wrist bruise)
Team Records & Recent Form
New York Yankees (26–14)
- Last 10: 6–4
- Road Record: 12–8
- Run Differential: +41
- Trend: Elite pitching + top‑tier power production.
- Strength: Deep lineup, strong bullpen, elite HR rate.
- Weakness: Strikeout‑heavy lineup; inconsistent production from bottom third.
Milwaukee Brewers (21–16)
- Last 10: 5–5
- Home Record: 11–9
- Run Differential: +9
- Trend: Offense streaky; pitching depth tested by injuries.
- Strength: Athletic lineup, strong defensive metrics.
- Weakness: Bullpen instability without Devin Williams.
obable Starting Pitchers
New York — RHP Marcus Stroman (4–2, 3.12 ERA)
- 2026 Road ERA: 2.98
- WHIP: 1.18
- Ground‑ball rate: 52%
- Scouting Notes:
- Sinker/slider combo induces weak contact.
- Brewers’ lineup struggles vs. low‑zone sinkers.
- Must avoid middle‑in cutters to right-handed hitters like Contreras.
Milwaukee — RHP Joe Ross (2–3, 4.44 ERA)
- 2026 Home ERA: 4.10
- WHIP: 1.31
- K/9: 7.9
- Scouting Notes:
- Relies on slider-heavy approach.
- Yankees feast on mistake sliders.
- Needs early command to avoid high pitch counts.
Key Player Matchups
1. Aaron Judge (NYY) vs. Joe Ross
- Judge crushes sliders left up in the zone.
- Ross must work away and avoid predictable sequences.
2. William Contreras (MIL) vs. Marcus Stroman
- Contreras handles sinkers well and is Milwaukee’s best chance for extra-base damage.
3. Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) vs. Brewers Bullpen
- Without Devin Williams, Milwaukee lacks a dominant late-inning righty.
- Stanton’s power plays well even with roof closed.
4. Jackson Chourio (MIL) vs. Stroman
- If healthy, Chourio’s speed and bat-to-ball skills can pressure Stroman’s defense.
Series History
- 2025–2026 Combined: Yankees lead 4–3
- At American Family Field: Brewers have won 3 of last 5
- Trend: Games often low-scoring due to strong pitching matchups.
Betting Trends
New York Yankees
- 7–3 last 10 road games
- Unders hit in 6 of last 9
- Yankees are 18–3 when scoring 5+ runs
Milwaukee Brewers
- 5–2 last seven home games
- Overs hit in 5 of last 7 Brewers games
- Brewers are 4–10 when trailing after 6 innings
Head-to-Head
- Unders are 6–4 in last 10
- Favorites are 7–3 in last 10
- Yankees have covered run line in 4 of last 6
Game Odds
New York Yankees – 120
Milwaukee Brewers 8
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, May 9, 2026
