Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia
First pitch: 7:15 p.m. ET
TV: SNY / BravesVision (streaming via Fubo/MLB.TV where available)
This is the rubber match of a three-game series. The Mets took Game 1 on Monday 8-5; the Braves responded with a 4-0 shutout on Tuesday. Atlanta leads the NL East comfortably; New York sits last in the division. The Mets hold a 7-5 edge in the season series entering Wednesday.
Probable Starting Pitchers
Mets: LHP Zach (Zac) Thornton (#49) — 3-2, 2.52 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 27 K in ~39.1 IP. Strong recent form, including quality outings; limited but effective sample.
Braves: RHP Tyler Mahle (#54) — 3-9, 4.83 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 98 K in ~100.2 IP. Higher ERA and win-loss struggles, though capable of solid starts (including a strong Braves debut earlier).
Thornton holds a clear ERA and WHIP advantage.
Venue & Weather Forecast
Truist Park (hitter-friendly tendencies with a lively ballpark atmosphere).
Forecast: Mostly sunny with a 30% chance of afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 89–92°F, lows near 74–75°F. Heat index values potentially approaching 97–100°F. West winds 5–10 mph. Isolated storms possible but should not significantly disrupt the evening start.
Injury Reports
Mets:
Mark Vientos (1B/INF): 10-day IL (hand).
Juan Soto (OF): 10-day IL (calf).
Austin Warren / Cionel Pérez / Devin Williams (RP): 15-day IL (forearm/shoulder).
Longer-term/60-day IL: Tylor Megill, Justin Hagenman, Reed Garrett (elbow/rib issues). Bullpen and lineup depth limited.
Braves:
Reynaldo López / Robert Suarez (RP): 15-day IL (knee/elbow).
Longer-term/60-day IL: Spencer Strider, Spencer Schwellenbach (elbow), Joey Wentz, Joe Jiménez (knee). Rotation and bullpen depth affected by several key absences.
Current Rosters / Key Players
Mets key contributors: Carson Benge (hot recent form), Bo Bichette, Marcus Semien, Francisco Lindor (when healthy), A.J. Ewing; offense has shown flashes but inconsistency overall.
Braves key contributors: Matt Olson (~35 HR, 74 RBI), Michael Harris II (.293 AVG), Ozzie Albies, Ronald Acuña Jr. (recent power), Drake Baldwin; strong power and home production.
Key Player Versus Player Matchups & Notes
Benge, Bichette, and Semien (Mets’ top recent bats) vs. Mahle’s higher ERA.
Olson, Harris II, Albies, and Acuña against Thornton’s low-ERA profile.
Season series competitive (Mets 7-5 lead); Braves strong at home (40-21).
Truist Park favors power hitters; both teams have produced runs in the series.
Thornton’s efficiency edge is notable against Atlanta’s potent lineup.
Recent Team Forms
Mets: 3-2 in last 5 / 6-4 in last 10; competitive recently after earlier struggles. Away record 28-34.
Braves: 2-3 in last 5 / 7-3 in last 10; strong overall and dominant at home. Leading the NL East.
Series History & Betting Trends
Mets lead the season series 7-5; series tied 1-1 this set.
GAME ODDS
New York Mets 9
Atlanta Braves – 171
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, August 11, 2026
