MLB Game Preview: new York Mets (48-36) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (34-50)

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Pittsburgh Pirates logo

First pitch is set for 1:35 p.m. ET, with coverage on SNY, ATTP, and MLB.tv.

MatchupNew York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Date & TimeSunday, June 29 – 1:35 p.m. ET
VenuePNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
BroadcastSNY, ATTP, MLB.tv

This is the series finale of a three-game set. The Pirates took the opener 9–1, while the Mets are looking to bounce back and avoid a series loss.

Team Form & Trends

New York Mets (48–36, 1st in NL East)

  • Recent Form: 3–1 in last 4 games as favorites
  • Offensive Leaders:
    • Juan Soto: .333 AVG, 4 HR, 5 RBI in last 5 games
    • Pete Alonso: .292 AVG, 65 RBI – 14th in MLB HR rankings
  • Team Trends:
  • 67.2% win rate when favored this season
  • 5–5 ATS in last 10 games

Pittsburgh Pirates (33–51, 5th in NL Central)

  • Recent Form: 2–4 in last 6 games as underdogs
  • Offensive Leaders:
    • Oneil Cruz: 13 HR – leads team, ranks 39th in MLB
    • Bryan Reynolds: Key run producer with consistent contact hitting
  • Team Trends:
  • 38.6% win rate as underdogs
  • 8 of last 10 games have gone Over the total

Projected Starting Pitchers

New York Mets: Tylor Megill (RHP)

  • Record: 4–4 ERA: 4.12 WHIP: 1.31
  • Last Start: 6.0 IP, 2 ER, 7 K vs Braves
  • Trend: Mets have won 3 of his last 4 starts

Pittsburgh Pirates: Bailey Falter (LHP)

  • Record: 3–7 ERA: 4.76 WHIP: 1.38
  • Last Start: 5.1 IP, 3 ER vs Brewers
  • Trend: Pirates are 2–6 in his last 8 starts

Key Matchups to Watch

  • Juan Soto vs. Falter: Soto is red-hot and crushes lefties (.310 AVG vs LHP)
  • Oneil Cruz vs. Megill: Cruz has 3 HR in last 7 games and thrives on fastballs
  • Bullpen Battle: Mets’ bullpen ERA (3.71) ranks 8th in MLB; Pirates’ pen sits at 4.45

Head-to-Head & Betting Insights

  • Mets have won 7 of last 10 meetings vs Pirates
  • Over is 8–2 in last 10 Pirates games
  • Mets are 20–9 when favored by -154 or more

Game Odds

New York Mets                 – 154

Pittsburgh Pirates            9.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, June 28, 2025

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MLB Editor
Profile: A dedicated Major League Baseball analyst with a comprehensive understanding of the sport’s strategic, statistical, and developmental layers. This columnist delivers in‑depth coverage that blends advanced metrics, scouting insight, and historical context to illuminate the trends shaping today’s game. Background: With extensive experience following MLB at both the team and league levels, the columnist has contributed to national sports outlets, digital platforms, and radio segments focused on roster construction, player evaluation, and organizational philosophy. A background in sports journalism and analytics supports a disciplined approach to breaking down performance, interpreting data, and tracking long‑term competitive cycles. Signature Coverage Areas: Game previews and pitching‑matchup analysis Advanced statistical breakdowns and sabermetric insights Prospect evaluation, farm‑system trends, and player development Trade‑deadline movement, free‑agency analysis, and front‑office strategy Historical context and postseason features Style & Approach: The writing emphasizes clarity, accuracy, and accessibility — translating complex data and tactical nuance into insights that resonate with both traditional fans and analytically minded readers. Each column reflects a commitment to balanced reporting, thoughtful evaluation, and a deep appreciation for the evolving landscape of Major League Baseball.