First Pitch: 6:40 PM ET
Venue: Citizens Bank Park — 1 Citizens Bank Way, Philadelphia, PA
Surface: Grass
Capacity: 42,792
Probable Pitchers:
- NYM: Scott (RHP) — 4.71 ERA, 1.33 WHIP
- PHI: Aaron Nola (RHP) — 3.42 ERA, 1.11 WHIP
Weather Update (Philadelphia, PA — July 16, 2026)
- Temperature: 84°F at first pitch
- Sky: Mostly clear
- Wind: Light WNW at 6–8 mph (slight push toward left field)
- Humidity: Moderate
- Rain: <10% chance
Conditions favor pitchers early, with mild winds and no humidity spikes.
Team Records & Standings
New York Mets (40–57)
- Road Record: 18–30
- Last 10 Games: 3–7
- Current Form: Lost 5 of last 7
- NL East: 5th place
Philadelphia Phillies (54–43)
- Home Record: 29–19
- Last 10 Games: 6–4
- Current Form: Won 4 of last 5
- NL East: 2nd place
Phillies are trending upward, while the Mets continue to struggle with consistency and run production.
Recent Team Form
Mets — Last Five Games
- L vs Miami, 6–3
- L vs Miami, 4–2
- W vs Miami, 5–4
- L at Atlanta, 8–2
- L at Atlanta, 7–3
Offense: Averaging just 3.4 runs per game over last five. Pitching: Rotation has allowed 6.2 runs per game in that span.
Phillies — Last Five Games
- W vs Washington, 7–2
- W vs Washington, 5–3
- L vs Washington, 4–3
- W at Pittsburgh, 6–1
- W at Pittsburgh, 5–2
Offense: Averaging 5.2 runs per game over last five. Pitching: Staff ERA of 2.40 over last five — elite form.
Series History
- 2026 Season Series: Phillies lead 5–2
- Last 10 Meetings: Phillies lead 7–3
- At Citizens Bank Park: Phillies have won 9 of last 12 vs Mets
Philadelphia has dominated the matchup recently, especially at home.
Injury Report
New York Mets
- Francisco Lindor — Questionable (hamstring tightness)
- Starling Marte — Out (wrist fracture)
- Kodai Senga — Out (shoulder rehab)
- Jeff McNeil — Probable (back stiffness)
Philadelphia Phillies
- Bryce Harper — Probable (elbow soreness)
- Trea Turner — Out (quad strain)
- Ranger Suárez — Out (forearm inflammation)
- Brandon Marsh — Probable (knee bruise)
Turner’s absence hurts Philly’s speed and top‑of‑order production, but Harper’s availability keeps the lineup dangerous.
Key Player Matchups
Scott (NYM) vs Aaron Nola (PHI)
- Scott struggles with command and home runs allowed.
- Nola is in strong mid‑season form, with elite strikeout‑to‑walk ratios.
- Edge: Phillies — significant.
Pete Alonso (NYM) vs Aaron Nola (PHI)
- Alonso has 3 HR in last 10 games.
- Nola has held Alonso to a .214 career average.
- Edge: Nola.
Bryce Harper (PHI) vs Scott (NYM)
- Harper hitting .318 over last 15 games.
- Scott allows a .287 average to left‑handed hitters.
- Edge: Harper — major mismatch.
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) vs Mets Bullpen
- Mets bullpen ranks bottom‑five in ERA.
- Schwarber has 4 HR in last 8 games.
- Edge: Schwarber.
Statistical Comparison
| Category | Mets | Phillies |
| Runs/Game | 4.03 | 4.92 |
| Team ERA | 4.71 | 3.88 |
| Bullpen ERA | 4.89 | 3.62 |
| OPS | .689 | .742 |
| Road/Home Split | .421 win% | .604 win% |
Phillies hold the advantage in every major category.
Betting Trends
New York Mets
- 2–6 in last 8 road games
- Under is 5–2 in last 7
- 1–4 in last 5 vs Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies
- 6–1 in last 7 home games
- 5–2 ATS in last 7
- Under is 4–1 in last 5 at home
GAME ODDS
New York Mets 9.5
Philadelphia Phillies – 120
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, July 15, 2026
