First Pitch: 6:40 PM PT
Venue: T-Mobile Park — Seattle, Washington
Broadcast: ROOT Sports NW, SNY, MLB.TV
Weather Conditions — Seattle, WA
T-Mobile Park features a retractable roof, but weather still influences roof decisions.
- Forecast: 64°F, light rain in the area
- Wind: 8–10 mph blowing in from left
- Humidity: 72%
- Roof: Likely closed
- Impact:
- Closed roof = neutral run environment
- Mariners’ pitchers benefit from controlled conditions
- Mets’ power bats lose some carry
Injury Report
New York Mets
- 1B Pete Alonso — Day‑to‑day (hand contusion)
- OF Brandon Nimmo — Out (hamstring)
- RP Edwin Díaz — Out (forearm)
- SS Francisco Lindor — Probable (back tightness)
Impact: The Mets’ lineup is weakened without Nimmo, and the bullpen lacks its anchor without Díaz.
Seattle Mariners
- OF Julio Rodríguez — Day‑to‑day (ankle)
- 2B Jorge Polanco — Out (oblique)
- SP Logan Gilbert — Out (shoulder)
- RP Andrés Muñoz — Probable (rest)
Impact: Seattle’s offense depends heavily on Julio’s availability. Muñoz returning stabilizes the late innings.
Team Records & Season Context
New York Mets (26–35)
- Road Record: 11–19
- Runs/Game: 4.09
- Team ERA: 4.52
- Strength: Starting pitching upside
- Weakness: Bullpen depth, inconsistent offense
The Mets have lost 6 of their last 8, struggling to generate offense and close out games.
Seattle Mariners (33–29)
- Home Record: 19–12
- Runs/Game: 4.31
- Team ERA: 3.88
- Strength: Elite rotation, strong bullpen
- Weakness: Streaky offense, injuries to key bats
Seattle has won 5 of their last 7, including a tight Game 1 victory over New York.
Recent Form (Last 10 Games)
New York Mets
- 3–7 in last 10
- Averaging 3.7 runs per game
- Team ERA: 4.61
- Lost Game 1 of this series 4–2
Seattle Mariners
- 6–4 in last 10
- Averaging 4.5 runs per game
- Team ERA: 3.72
- Won 4 of last 5 at home
Series History
- 2024–2026 Combined: Mariners lead 7–4
- At T-Mobile Park: Mariners lead 5–2
- 2026 Season: Mariners lead series 1–0
Seattle has consistently handled the Mets at home.
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
New York — RHP Freddy Peralta
- Record: 3–6
- ERA: 4.39
- WHIP: 1.29
- K/BB: 78/24
- Pitch Mix: 4-seam, slider, curve, changeup
- Scouting Notes:
- Elite strikeout ability
- Prone to HRs when fastball leaks over the plate
- Mariners struggle vs. high fastballs but hit hanging sliders well
Matchup Outlook: If Peralta commands the fastball up, he can neutralize Seattle’s swing-and-miss tendencies.
Seattle — RHP George Kirby
- Record: 5–3
- ERA: 3.21
- WHIP: 1.09
- K/BB: 61/8
- Pitch Mix: 4-seam, sinker, slider, splitter
- Scouting Notes:
- Best command in the AL
- Mets rank bottom‑10 vs. splitters
- Rarely walks hitters
Matchup Outlook: Kirby’s command and pitch efficiency give him a major advantage against a Mets lineup missing key bats.
Key Player Matchups
1. Francisco Lindor (NYM) vs. George Kirby
- Lindor struggles vs. splitters
- Kirby’s splitter is a key weapon Edge: Mariners
2. Julio Rodríguez (SEA) vs. Freddy Peralta
(If Julio plays)
- Julio crushes fastballs
- Peralta’s fastball is elite but inconsistent Edge: Even
3. Jeff McNeil (NYM) vs. Mariners Bullpen
- McNeil’s contact profile fits T-Mobile Park
- Mariners’ bullpen dominates lefties Edge: Mariners
4. Cal Raleigh (SEA) vs. Peralta’s slider
- Raleigh is a low-average, high-power bat
- Peralta’s slider can neutralize him Edge: Mets
Statistical Comparison
| Category | Mets | Mariners |
| Runs/Game | 4.09 | 4.31 |
| Team ERA | 4.52 | 3.88 |
| Bullpen ERA | 4.71 | 3.42 |
| OPS | .694 | .718 |
| Road Record | 11–19 | — |
| Home Record | — | 19–12 |
Key takeaway: Seattle holds clear advantages in pitching, bullpen, and home performance.
Betting Trends
New York Mets
- 3–7 in last 10
- 2–6 in last 8 road games
- Under has hit in 5 of last 7
Seattle Mariners
- 6–4 in last 10
- 4–1 in last 5 home games
- Under has hit in 4 of last 6 at T-Mobile Park
Game Odds
New York Mets 7.5
Seattle Mariners – 139
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, June 2, 2026
