MLB Game Preview: New York Mets (26-33) vs. Seattle Mariners (31-29)

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Seattle Mariners

T-Mobile Park — Seattle, Washington

First Pitch: 6:40 PM PT / 9:40 PM ET

Broadcast: ROOT Sports NW, SNY, MLB.TV

Probable Pitchers:

NYM — Alex Warren (RHP)

SEA — Emerson Hancock (RHP)

VENUE & WEATHER

Venue: T-Mobile Park Surface: Natural grass Weather:

Temperature: 64°F at first pitch

Wind: Light NW breeze 4–6 mph (slight push toward RF)

Conditions: Partly cloudy, cool

Impact: Slightly pitcher‑friendly; marine air suppresses deep fly balls

INJURY REPORT

New York Mets

Francisco Lindor — Probable (ankle)

Pete Alonso — Probable (wrist)

Starling Marte — Out (hamstring)

Kodai Senga — Out (shoulder)

Brooks Raley — Day‑to‑Day (back)

Seattle Mariners

Julio Rodríguez — Probable (quad tightness)

Ty France — Day‑to‑Day (elbow)

Andrés Muñoz — Probable (rest)

J.P. Crawford — Out (oblique)

Matt Brash — Out (elbow)

Seattle’s lineup is thinner without Crawford, but their pitching remains strong.

TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM

NEW YORK METS (26–33)

Last 10: 4–6 Road Record: 11–17 Run Differential: ‑29

The Mets continue to struggle with:

Inconsistent offense

Poor RISP performance

Bullpen volatility

Lack of power outside Alonso

Bright spot: Warren has been competitive in recent outings.

SEATTLE MARINERS (31–29)

Last 10: 6–4 Home Record: 17–12 Run Differential: +8

Seattle is trending upward thanks to:

Strong starting pitching

Improved bullpen performance

Julio Rodríguez heating up

Hancock’s recent surge in command

The Mariners have won 5 of their last 7 at home.

STARTING PITCHING MATCHUP

NYM — Alex Warren (RHP)

2026 Stats:

2–4, 4.33 ERA

1.29 WHIP

8.0 K/9

2.9 BB/9

Profile:

Four‑seam / slider mix

Good strikeout ability

Vulnerable to left‑handed hitters

Struggles third time through the order

Key Factor: Seattle’s lefties (Kelenic, Raley, Canzone) match up well.

SEA — Emerson Hancock (RHP)

2026 Stats:

4–3, 3.47 ERA

1.18 WHIP

7.9 K/9

48% ground‑ball rate

Profile:

Heavy sinker

Sharp slider

Excellent home splits (2.91 ERA at T-Mobile Park)

Keeps ball in the yard

Key Factor: Mets rank bottom‑10 vs. sinker/slider combinations.

KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS

Pete Alonso (NYM) vs. Hancock

Alonso can punish mistakes, but Hancock rarely leaves pitches middle‑middle. Advantage: Mariners

Francisco Lindor (NYM) vs. Mariners Bullpen

Lindor is heating up and thrives vs. late‑inning fastballs. Advantage: Mets (late innings)

Julio Rodríguez (SEA) vs. Warren

If Julio is healthy, he’s a major threat vs. Warren’s fastball. Advantage: Mariners

Jarred Kelenic (SEA) vs. Mets Bullpen

Kelenic’s power plays well vs. New York’s inconsistent relief corps. Advantage: Mariners

SERIES HISTORY

Last 10 meetings: Mariners lead 6–4

At T-Mobile Park: Mariners have won 4 of last 6

Average margin last 5 games: Mariners +1.4

Seattle has had the slight edge in recent interleague matchups.

BETTING TRENDS

New York Mets

3–7 in last 10 road games

Under is 6–3 in last 9

2–6 in Warren’s last 8 starts

Seattle Mariners

5–2 in last 7 home games

Under is 4–1 in last 5

6–1 in Hancock’s last 7 home starts

Head‑to‑Head

Mariners 6–4 last 10

Unders hit in 5 of last 7

Home team is 7–3 in last 10

Game Odds

New York Mets                 7

Seattle Mariners              – 127

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, May 31, 2026