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MLB Game Preview: New York Mets (22-11) vs. St. Louis Cardinals (14-19)

The New York Mets and St. Louis Cardinals are set to face off in the second game of a three-game series on Saturday, May 3, 2025, at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. The Mets have dominated the season series, holding a 5-0 advantage, while the Cardinals look to bounce back and secure a much-needed win at home.

Game Details

  • Date: Saturday, May 3, 2025
  • Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
  • Start Time: 2:15 p.m. ET
  • TV Broadcast: SNY (Mets), Bally Sports Midwest (Cardinals)
  • Radio: WCBS 880 (Mets), KMOX 1120 (Cardinals)

Team Breakdown

New York Mets (22-11, 1st in NL East)

The Mets enter this matchup with six wins in their last 10 games, fueled by strong pitching and consistent offensive production. Pete Alonso has been a force at the plate, leading the team with seven home runs and 28 RBIs, while Francisco Lindor has been red-hot, going 13-for-41 with a double and a home run in his last 10 games.

Key Strengths:

  • Elite Pitching Staff – The Mets lead MLB with a 2.70 team ERA, showcasing their dominance on the mound.
  • Balanced Offense – New York ranks 10th in MLB with 150 total runs scored.
  • Strong Road Performance – The Mets have a 9-8 record away from home, proving their ability to win on the road.

Key Weaknesses:

  • Injury Concerns – Several key pitchers, including A.J. Minter, Francelis Montas, and Sean Manaea, remain sidelined.
  • Strikeout Rate – The Mets rank 15th in MLB in batting average (.244), showing occasional struggles at the plate.

St. Louis Cardinals (14-19, 4th in NL Central)

The Cardinals have had an up-and-down season, but their offense remains a bright spot. Masyn Winn has been a standout performer, hitting .256 with four doubles and two home runs in his last 10 games. Lars Nootbaar has also contributed, recording six doubles and five home runs this season.

Key Strengths:

  • High Batting Average – The Cardinals rank fourth in MLB with a .256 team batting average.
  • Home Field Advantage – St. Louis has a 10-6 record at Busch Stadium, making them tough to beat at home.
  • Slugging Power – The Cardinals rank 10th in MLB with a .397 slugging percentage.

Key Weaknesses:

  • Struggles Against the Mets – New York has won all five matchups this season, putting St. Louis in a tough position.
  • Pitching Inconsistencies – The Cardinals have a 4.14 team ERA, ranking in the lower half of MLB.

Starting Pitchers

New York Mets – Tylor Megill (3-2, 1.74 ERA, 39 K)

Megill has been dominant this season, posting a 1.74 ERA with 11.3 strikeouts per nine innings. He has held opponents to a .198 batting average, making him one of the most effective starters in the Mets’ rotation.

St. Louis Cardinals – Erick Fedde (1-3, 4.89 ERA, 27 K)

Fedde has struggled against the Mets in his career, going 1-5 with a 6.51 ERA in 17 games (12 starts). He’ll need to improve his command and limit hard contact to give St. Louis a chance.

Game Prediction & Key Matchups

Key Matchups:

  • Alonso vs. Fedde – Alonso has been one of the Mets’ top power hitters, and Fedde will need to keep him in check.
  • Winn vs. Megill – Winn has been a consistent hitter for St. Louis, but Megill’s dominance on the mound could neutralize him.
  • Bullpen Battle – The Mets’ bullpen has been one of the best in MLB, while the Cardinals have struggled with late-game pitching.

Game Odds

New York Mets                 – 155

St. Louis Cardinals           8.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 2, 2025

Fantasy Guru - Baseball

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