Scheduled First Pitch: 7:10 p.m. PDT
Venue: T-Mobile Park — Seattle, Washington
Surface: Natural Grass
Capacity: ~47,000
Broadcast: Bally Sports North / ROOT Sports Northwest
Weather Forecast — Seattle, WA
(T-Mobile Park roof status TBD)
Temperature: 76°F at first pitch
Wind: 6–9 mph blowing out to right field
Humidity: ~63%
Conditions: Clear summer evening Impact: If roof is open, slight boost for left‑handed power. If closed, conditions become neutral and pitcher‑friendly.
Probable Pitchers
Twins — RHP David Matthews
2026 Season: 5–6, 4.18 ERA, 1.28 WHIP
Profile: Young right‑hander with a sinker/slider/changeup mix
Strengths: Keeps ball down; induces ground balls; solid vs right‑handed hitters
Weaknesses: Vulnerable to left‑handed power; limited strikeout upside
Matchup Note: Mariners’ left‑handed bats (Kelenic, Raley, Crawford) match up well vs Matthews’ sinker.
Mariners — RHP Bryce Miller
2026 Season: 7–7, 3.74 ERA, 1.20 WHIP
Profile: High‑velocity fastball with elite vertical ride; strong slider
Strengths: Generates whiffs; excellent vs right‑handed hitters; strong at home
Weaknesses: HR‑prone when fastball leaks up; struggles vs disciplined left‑handed hitters
Matchup Note: Twins’ left‑handed core (Kepler, Julien, Kirilloff) can punish elevated heaters.
Current Rosters (Key Starters & Regulars)
(Reflecting 2026 active rosters as of July 31)
Twins Lineup Core
SS Carlos Correa
CF Byron Buxton
RF Max Kepler
2B Edouard Julien
1B Alex Kirilloff
3B Royce Lewis
LF Trevor Larnach
C Ryan Jeffers
DH Jose Miranda
Mariners Lineup Core
CF Julio Rodríguez
LF Jarred Kelenic
RF Mitch Haniger
1B Ty France
SS J.P. Crawford
2B Ryan Bliss
3B Josh Rojas
C Cal Raleigh
DH Luke Raley
Injury Report
Twins
Joe Ryan — IL (shoulder)
Bailey Ober — IL (forearm)
Jorge Polanco — IL (ankle)
Chris Paddack — IL (elbow)
Mariners
George Kirby — IL (lat strain)
Logan Gilbert — IL (shoulder)
Andrés Muñoz — IL (back)
Sam Haggerty — IL (hamstring)
Recent Team Form
Twins — Last 10 Games: 5–5
Offense averaging 4.6 runs/game
Bullpen inconsistent (4.20 ERA last 10)
Kepler and Julien both hot (combined 5 HR last 10 games)
Mariners — Last 10 Games: 4–6
Offense averaging 4.1 runs/game
Pitching staff struggling without Kirby/Gilbert
Julio Rodríguez heating up (3 HR, 4 SB last 10 games)
Series History (Last 10 Meetings)
Twins lead 6–4
Mariners have won 3 of last 5 at T-Mobile Park
Games tend to be low‑scoring due to park dimensions unless roof is open
Key Player Matchups
1. David Matthews vs Julio Rodríguez
Julio crushes sinkers and elevated fastballs
Matthews’ fastball command inconsistent Edge: Julio Rodríguez
2. Bryce Miller vs Max Kepler
Kepler excels vs rising fastballs
Miller’s fastball often leaks up Edge: Kepler
3. Edouard Julien vs Miller’s Slider
Julien struggles vs high‑spin breaking balls
Miller’s slider is his best swing‑and‑miss pitch Edge: Miller
4. Jarred Kelenic vs Matthews’ Changeup
Kelenic handles off‑speed pitches well
Matthews’ changeup is inconsistent Edge: Kelenic
Betting Trends
Twins Trends
Twins overs hit 57% on the road
Kepler has reached base in 12 straight games
Minnesota is 8–4 in last 12 games vs AL West opponents
Mariners Trends
Mariners unders hit 60% at home
Miller starts: Seattle is 11–7
Julio Rodríguez has 5 HR in last 14 home games
Game Odds
Minnesota Twins 7.5
Seattle Mariners – 159
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, July 30, 2026
