Venue: Fenway Park — Boston, Massachusetts
First Pitch: 1:35 PM ET
Broadcast: NESN, Bally Sports North, MLB.TV
The Twins and Red Sox close out their weekend set at Fenway Park with a matchup featuring two right-handers trending in opposite directions. Minnesota sends Bailey Ober, who has been steady but not dominant, while Boston counters with veteran Sonny Gray, who has struggled with inconsistency and command issues early in 2026. Both teams are trying to climb back toward .500, making this a meaningful late-May matchup.
Venue & Weather
Fenway Park — Boston, MA
Weather Forecast (May 24):
- Temperature: 71–74°F
- Wind: 10–13 mph out to left field
- Humidity: 60%
- Rain: <10%
- Impact:
- Boost for right-handed pull hitters
- Warm air increases carry toward the Green Monster
- Pitchers who allow fly balls could be punished
Injury Report
Minnesota Twins
- Carlos Correa — Active
- Royce Lewis — OUT (quad)
- Max Kepler — Day-to-day (knee)
- Byron Buxton — Active
- Jhoan Duran — Active
Boston Red Sox
- Triston Casas — OUT (rib)
- Rafael Devers — Active
- Tyler O’Neill — Day-to-day (hamstring)
- Nick Pivetta — OUT (elbow)
- Kenley Jansen — Active
Team Records & Recent Form
Minnesota Twins (24–27)
- Last 10: 4–6
- Trend: Offense inconsistent, pitching stabilizing
- Strength: Starting rotation depth
- Weakness: Middle-of-order production without Lewis
Boston Red Sox (22–28)
- Last 10: 5–5
- Trend: Offense improving, pitching uneven
- Strength: Top-of-order power (Devers, O’Neill when healthy)
- Weakness: Rotation volatility, bullpen inconsistency
Probable Pitching Matchup
Minnesota — RHP Bailey Ober (3–4, 4.11 ERA)
- Profile:
- Tall righty with extension
- Four-seam/changeup/slider mix
- Fly-ball pitcher — risky at Fenway
- Splits:
- Vs RHB: .238 AVG
- Vs LHB: .262 AVG
- Road ERA: 4.55
- Matchup Notes:
- Must avoid elevated fastballs vs Devers
- Fenway’s dimensions could inflate his ERA
Boston — RHP Sonny Gray (2–5, 4.72 ERA)
- Profile:
- Sinker/slider/curveball veteran
- Still capable of dominance when command is sharp
- Prone to early-inning trouble
- Splits:
- Vs RHB: .255 AVG
- Vs LHB: .271 AVG
- Home ERA: 5.10
- Matchup Notes:
- Twins’ right-handed bats (Correa, Miranda) match up well
- Gray must keep the ball down to avoid damage
Key Player Matchups
1. Rafael Devers (BOS) vs. Bailey Ober
- Devers crushes high fastballs
- Ober’s fly-ball profile is a concern Advantage: Boston
2. Carlos Correa (MIN) vs. Sonny Gray
- Correa handles sinkers and breaking balls well
- Gray’s command has been inconsistent Advantage: Minnesota
3. Byron Buxton (MIN) vs. Gray
- Buxton’s power/speed combo plays well at Fenway Advantage: Minnesota
4. Jarren Duran (BOS) vs. Ober
- Duran’s speed puts pressure on Ober’s contact profile Advantage: Boston
Series History
- 2025 Season: Twins won 4–2
- 2026 Season: Series tied entering Sunday
- At Fenway Park (last 10): Red Sox lead 6–4
- Trend: Games between these teams often feature high scoring at Fenway
Betting Trends
Minnesota Twins
- Twins are 3–7 in last 10 road games
- Over is 6–2 in last 8 Twins games
- Minnesota is 2–5 in Ober’s last 7 starts
Boston Red Sox
- Red Sox are 5–2 in last 7 home games
- Over is 4–1 in last 5 Boston games
- Boston is 4–1 in Gray’s last 5 home starts vs AL Central teams
Game Odds
Minnesota Twins 7.5
Boston Red Sox – 150
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, May 23, 2026
