First Pitch: 4:10 PM ET
Broadcast: NESN (Boston), Bally Sports North (Minnesota), MLB.TV
Venue & Weather
Fenway Park remains one of baseball’s most unique environments — short left field, quirky angles, and a right-field bullpen that rewards left-handed pull hitters.
Weather Forecast (Boston, MA):
- Temperature: 67–70°F
- Wind: 8–12 mph out to left-center, a slight boost for right-handed power
- Conditions: Partly cloudy, low chance of rain
- Impact: Slightly hitter-friendly, especially for line-drive hitters and fly-ball righties
Injury Report
Minnesota Twins
- Byron Buxton — OUT (knee inflammation)
- Carlos Correa — Probable (heel soreness)
- Max Kepler — Day-to-day (hamstring tightness)
- Jhoan Duran — Active
- Brooks Lee — OUT (back)
Boston Red Sox
- Triston Casas — OUT (rib fracture)
- Trevor Story — OUT (shoulder)
- Wilyer Abreu — Day-to-day (wrist)
- Kenley Jansen — Active
- Brayan Bello — OUT (forearm strain)
Team Records & Recent Form
Minnesota Twins (23–27)
- Last 10: 4–6
- Trend: Inconsistent offense, bullpen stabilizing
- Strength: Starting pitching has been better than record suggests
- Weakness: Middle-of-the-order production without Buxton/Lee
Boston Red Sox (22–27)
- Last 10: 5–5
- Trend: Offense streaky, pitching staff overachieving
- Strength: Contact hitting, aggressive baserunning
- Weakness: Lack of power without Casas/Story
Probable Pitching Matchup
Minnesota — RHP Taj Bradley (1–3, 4.11 ERA)
- 2026 profile:
- High-velocity four-seam (95–97)
- Cutter/curveball mix
- Swing-and-miss stuff but command lapses
- Key splits:
- Road ERA: 3.88
- Vs LHB: .262 AVG
- Vs RHB: .219 AVG
- Matchup notes:
- Boston’s lefties (Yoshida, Devers) are the threat
- Fenway’s dimensions can punish elevated fastballs
Boston — LHP Chris Murphy Moran (2–4, 4.54 ERA)
(Note: Boston has used Moran as a hybrid starter/long-man; this is a projected start.)
- 2026 profile:
- Low-90s fastball, heavy changeup usage
- Relies on soft contact
- Key splits:
- Home ERA: 4.12
- Vs RHB: .278 AVG
- Vs LHB: .241 AVG
- Matchup notes:
- Minnesota’s right-handed bats (Lewis, Miranda, Jeffers) match up well
- Vulnerable to teams that elevate the ball
Key Player Matchups
1. Royce Lewis (MIN) vs. Chris Murphy Moran
- Lewis crushes lefties (.310+ career vs LHP)
- Moran’s changeup-heavy approach plays into Lewis’ fastball-hunting tendencies Advantage: Minnesota
2. Rafael Devers (BOS) vs. Taj Bradley
- Devers handles high-velocity righties extremely well
- Bradley’s cutter must be sharp to avoid damage Advantage: Boston
3. Ryan Jeffers (MIN) vs. Moran
- Jeffers has become a legitimate power threat
- Moran struggles vs right-handed power Advantage: Minnesota
4. Masataka Yoshida (BOS) vs. Bradley
- Yoshida excels at hitting elevated fastballs
- Bradley’s biggest weakness is fastball command Advantage: Boston
Series History
- 2025 Season: Twins won season series 4–2
- 2026 Season: Red Sox lead 1–0 (Friday’s game)
- At Fenway (last 10): Red Sox lead 6–4
- Trend: Fenway has historically been tough for Minnesota, but recent years have been more balanced
Betting Trends
Minnesota
- Under is 7–3 in last 10 games
- Twins are 5–12 in their last 17 road games vs AL East
- Bradley starts: Twins are 2–4
Boston
- Red Sox are 4–1 in last 5 home games
- Over is 6–2 in last 8 at Fenway
- Moran starts: Boston is 3–3
Game Odds
Minnesota Twins 8.5
Boston Red Sox – 118
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 22, 2026
