Venue: Nationals Park — Washington, D.C.
First Pitch: 6:45 PM ET
Broadcast: Bally Sports North, MASN, MLB.TV
VENUE — NATIONALS PARK
Location: Washington, D.C.
Park Factor: Slightly hitter‑friendly, especially to left‑center
Dimensions: 402 ft to CF, 377 ft to LCF, 335 ft to LF
Surface: Natural grass
Nationals Park plays neutral‑to‑offensive in warm weather, but early‑May evenings can suppress carry.
WEATHER FORECAST (Washington, D.C. — May 7, 2026)
Temperature at first pitch: 63°F
Wind: 8–11 mph blowing in from right field
Humidity: Moderate
Conditions: Clear skies
Impact: Wind blowing in reduces home‑run potential for left‑handed hitters. Expect a moderate‑to‑low scoring environment unless bullpens implode.
INJURY REPORT
Minnesota Twins
Carlos Correa — OUT (back)
Royce Lewis — OUT (quad)
Byron Buxton — Day‑to‑day (knee soreness)
Jhoan Durán — OUT (forearm)
Max Kepler — Day‑to‑day (shoulder)
Washington Nationals
CJ Abrams — OUT (hamstring)
Josiah Gray — OUT (elbow)
Lane Thomas — Day‑to‑day (ankle)
Hunter Harvey — OUT (lat strain)
Luis García Jr. — Day‑to‑day (wrist)
Impact: Both teams are missing cornerstone players. Minnesota’s lineup is significantly weakened without Correa and Lewis; Washington’s offense loses speed and spark without Abrams.
RECENT TEAM FORM
Minnesota Twins
Last 10: 5–5
Road Record: 7–12
Runs/Game: 4.1
Team ERA: 4.47
Trend: Pitching has been inconsistent, and the offense has struggled without its top bats.
Washington Nationals
Last 10: 4–6
Home Record: 9–10
Runs/Game: 4.3
Team ERA: 4.39
Trend: Nationals have been competitive but inconsistent, especially in late innings.
PROBABLE STARTING PITCHERS
Minnesota Twins — RHP Bailey Ober
2026 Season: 2–3, 3.92 ERA
Strengths: Extension, deception, strong command
Weaknesses: Fly‑ball tendencies
Park Fit: Good — wind blowing in helps mitigate HR risk
Washington Nationals — RHP Jake Irvin
2026 Season: 2–4, 4.28 ERA
Strengths: Curveball, ground‑ball rate
Weaknesses: Struggles vs. left‑handed hitters
Park Fit: Solid — keeps ball in yard
Pitching Edge: Twins (slightly)
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
Joey Gallo (MIN) vs. Jake Irvin (WSH)
Gallo’s power is neutralized by wind blowing in
Irvin struggles vs. lefties but can induce ground balls Edge: Even
Juan Yepez (WSH) vs. Bailey Ober (MIN)
Yepez handles high fastballs well
Ober’s extension can disrupt timing Edge: Twins
Trevor Larnach (MIN) vs. Nationals Bullpen
Larnach has been hot vs. right‑handed relievers
Nationals bullpen ERA is bottom‑third Edge: Twins
Keibert Ruiz (WSH) vs. Twins Pitching
Ruiz thrives vs. command‑first pitchers
Ober must avoid middle‑middle fastballs Edge: Nationals
SERIES HISTORY
2025 Season: Twins won season series 3–2
At Nationals Park: Teams have split last 6
2026 Series: Nationals lead 2–1 entering this game
Trend: Games have been moderate‑scoring with bullpen volatility
BETTING TRENDS
Minnesota Twins
Twins are 3–7 in last 10 road games
Under is 5–2 in last 7 Ober starts
Twins are 2–5 in last 7 vs. NL opponents
Washington Nationals
Nationals are 4–2 in last 6 home games
Under is 6–3 in last 9 Nationals games
Washington is 5–1 in last 6 vs. teams under .500
Head‑to‑Head
Under is 6–3 in last 9 meetings
Home team is 5–4 in last 9
Average combined score: 8.1 runs
Game Odds
Minnesota Twins 9
Washington Nationals – 118
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, May 6, 2026
