Venue: PNC Park
Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
First Pitch: 1:35 PM ET / 10:35 AM PT
Broadcast: Bally Sports Wisconsin / SportsNet Pittsburgh / MLB.TV
Weather Update — Pittsburgh, PA
Temperature: 83–87°F at first pitch
Humidity: 60–70%
Wind: 7–11 mph (blowing out to right field)
Rain Chance: 20% (isolated afternoon showers possible)
Impact:
Warm, breezy conditions → ball carries well to right
Boost for left‑handed power hitters
Pitchers must keep the ball down to avoid early home‑run damage
Team Records & Standings
Milwaukee Brewers — 59–36 (1st in NL Central)
One of MLB’s best records
Elite bullpen, strong rotation depth
Offense improved significantly vs. 2025
Road record: 28–20
Pittsburgh Pirates — 49–47 (3rd in NL Central)
Young roster trending upward
Rotation stabilizing behind Skenes
Offense inconsistent but dangerous at home
Home record: 25–23
Injury Report
Milwaukee Brewers
Christian Yelich — Probable (back)
William Contreras — Out (hamstring)
Rhys Hoskins — Out (shoulder)
Brice Turang — Questionable (illness)
Pittsburgh Pirates
Oneil Cruz — Probable (ankle)
Ke’Bryan Hayes — Out (wrist)
Mitch Keller — Out (forearm)
Henry Davis — Questionable (back)
Impact:
Brewers missing Contreras and Hoskins reduces middle‑order power.
Pirates missing Hayes weakens defensive stability and contact hitting.
Pitching Matchup — Robert Gasser (MIL) vs. Paul Skenes (PIT)
Milwaukee Brewers — Robert Gasser (LHP)
Record: 6–4 ERA: 3.71 WHIP: 1.26 K/BB: Solid command profile Pitch Mix: Four‑seam, slider, changeup, cutter Scouting Notes:
Changeup is his best pitch
Strong vs. right‑handed hitters
Can struggle with elevated fastballs in hitter‑friendly parks
Must avoid falling behind in counts vs. aggressive Pirates lineup
Pittsburgh Pirates — Paul Skenes (RHP)
Record: 9–3 ERA: 2.89 WHIP: 1.05 K/BB: Elite strikeout‑to‑walk ratio Pitch Mix: Four‑seam (100+ mph), slider, sinker, changeup Scouting Notes:
One of MLB’s most dominant young aces
Fastball overwhelms hitters; slider is a wipeout pitch
Brewers’ lineup struggles vs. elite velocity
Home park suits his power‑pitching style
Recent Team Form
Milwaukee Brewers — Last 10 Games
7–3
Offense averaging 5.1 runs per game
Bullpen ERA: 3.12
Trending upward; strong road performances
Pittsburgh Pirates — Last 10 Games
5–5
Offense averaging 4.4 runs per game
Rotation ERA: 3.98
Competitive but inconsistent
Series History
All‑Time: Brewers lead 150–128
Last 10 Meetings: Brewers lead 6–4
2026 Season Series: Brewers lead 2–1
At PNC Park: Brewers have won 5 of last 8
Key Note: Brewers have scored 4+ runs in 7 of their last 10 games vs. Pittsburgh.
Key Player Matchups
Christian Yelich (MIL) vs. Paul Skenes (PIT)
Yelich: .279 AVG, 14 HR
Skenes’ slider can neutralize left‑handed hitters Edge: Skenes
Willy Adames (MIL) vs. Pirates Bullpen
Adames: .254 AVG, 18 HR
Pirates bullpen ranks middle‑tier Edge: Adames
Oneil Cruz (PIT) vs. Gasser (MIL)
Cruz: .262 AVG, 17 HR
Gasser struggles vs. left‑handed power Edge: Cruz
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) vs. Brewers Pitching
Reynolds: .281 AVG, 16 HR
Brewers pitching struggles at times vs. disciplined switch‑hitters Edge: Reynolds
Statistical Comparison (2026 Season)
| Category | Brewers | Pirates |
| Runs per Game | 4.92 | 4.38 |
| Team ERA | 3.78 | 4.21 |
| Bullpen ERA | 3.32 | 3.98 |
| OPS | .746 | .714 |
| Home Runs | 121 | 104 |
| Defensive Runs Saved | +10 | +6 |
Key Insight: Brewers hold advantages in offense, pitching depth, and bullpen reliability.
Betting Trends
Milwaukee Brewers
7–3 in last 10 road games
6–2 in last 8 vs. NL Central
Unders hit in 5 of last 7 Gasser starts
Brewers 5–1 in last six Sunday games
Pittsburgh Pirates
5–5 in last 10 home games
4–6 in last 10 vs. teams above .500
Unders hit in 6 of last 9 Skenes starts
Pirates 3–7 in last ten day games
Head‑to‑Head Trends
Brewers have covered run line in 6 of last 9
Brewers average 4.8 runs per game vs. PIT since 2022
Pirates have scored 3 or fewer in 6 of last 10 vs. MIL
GAME ODDS
Milwaukee Brewers 8
Pittsburgh Pirates – 118
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, July 11, 2026
