Venue: American Family Field
Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Game 1 First Pitch: 1:10 PM CT
Game 2 First Pitch: 6:40 PM CT
Broadcast: Bally Sports Wisconsin / SportsNet Pittsburgh / MLB.TV
Weather Update — Milwaukee, WI
Temperature:
Game 1: 78–82°F
Game 2: 74–78°F
Humidity: 55–65%
Wind: 6–10 mph (light breeze toward right field)
Rain Chance: 15%
Roof Status: Likely closed for Game 1, open for Game 2 if conditions remain stable
Impact:
Closed roof → neutral hitting environment
Open roof → slight boost for right‑handed power bats
Team Records & Standings
Milwaukee Brewers — 59–34 (1st in NL Central)
Elite pitching depth
Top‑10 offense in OBP and situational hitting
Home record: 31–15
Pittsburgh Pirates — 47–47 (3rd in NL Central)
Young roster showing improvement
Pitching stabilizing, offense inconsistent
Road record: 22–25
Injury Report
Milwaukee Brewers
Christian Yelich — Probable (back stiffness)
William Contreras — Probable (thumb)
Rhys Hoskins — Out (knee)
DL Hall — Out (shoulder)
Pittsburgh Pirates
Oneil Cruz — Probable (ankle)
Ke’Bryan Hayes — Questionable (wrist)
Mitch Keller — Out (forearm)
Rowdy Tellez — Out (hamstring)
Impact:
Brewers missing Hoskins reduces right‑handed power.
Pirates missing Keller weakens rotation depth for Game 2.
Pitching Matchups — Double‑Header
Game 1 — Milwaukee: Freddy Peralta (RHP) vs. Pittsburgh: Jared Jones (RHP)
Freddy Peralta — Brewers
Record: 8–4
ERA: 3.32
WHIP: 1.09
K/9: 11.8
Scouting Notes:
Elite strikeout ability
Fastball/slider combo dominates right‑handers
Can be homer‑prone when elevated
American Family Field suits his fly‑ball tendencies
Jared Jones — Pirates
Record: 6–6
ERA: 3.88
WHIP: 1.24
K/BB: Excellent command for a young starter
Scouting Notes:
Power fastball with late life
Slider is a legitimate out pitch
Brewers’ left‑handed bats pose matchup issues
Must avoid long counts
Game 2 — Milwaukee: Aaron Civale (RHP) vs. Pittsburgh: Quinn Priester (RHP)
Aaron Civale — Brewers
Record: 5–7
ERA: 4.12
WHIP: 1.29
Scouting Notes:
Cutter/curveball specialist
Strong command but limited strikeout upside
Pirates’ right‑handed lineup matches well against him
Needs early ground‑ball efficiency
Quinn Priester — Pirates
Record: 4–6
ERA: 4.47
WHIP: 1.36
Scouting Notes:
Heavy sinker, induces ground balls
Struggles vs. disciplined hitters
Brewers’ patient lineup is a tough matchup
Must keep ball down to avoid damage
Recent Team Form
Milwaukee Brewers — Last 10 Games
7–3
Offense averaging 5.1 runs per game
Bullpen ERA: 2.95
Trending upward; elite late‑inning performance
Pittsburgh Pirates — Last 10 Games
5–5
Offense averaging 4.0 runs per game
Rotation ERA: 4.62
Inconsistent but competitive
Series History
All‑Time: Brewers lead 188–165
Last 10 Meetings: Brewers lead 7–3
2026 Season Series: Brewers lead 4–2
At American Family Field: Brewers have won 6 of last 8
Key Note: Brewers have scored 4+ runs in 8 of their last 10 games vs. Pittsburgh.
Key Player Matchups
Christian Yelich (MIL) vs. Jared Jones (PIT)
Yelich: .289 AVG, .840 OPS
Jones struggles vs. left‑handed hitters Edge: Yelich
William Contreras (MIL) vs. Quinn Priester (PIT)
Contreras: .278 AVG, 15 HR
Priester’s sinker can be punished by disciplined hitters Edge: Contreras
Oneil Cruz (PIT) vs. Peralta/Civale
Cruz: .254 AVG, 14 HR
Peralta’s slider matches well vs. Cruz’s swing path Edge: Brewers pitching
Ke’Bryan Hayes (PIT) vs. Brewers Bullpen
Hayes: .265 AVG, elite contact
Brewers bullpen ranks top‑5 in ERA Edge: Brewers bullpen
Statistical Comparison (2026 Season)
| Category | Brewers | Pirates |
| Runs per Game | 4.92 | 4.18 |
| Team ERA | 3.74 | 4.28 |
| Bullpen ERA | 3.32 | 4.11 |
| OPS | .746 | .699 |
| Home Runs | 121 | 98 |
| Defensive Runs Saved | +18 | -4 |
Key Insight: Brewers hold clear advantages in offense, pitching depth, and defense.
Betting Trends
Milwaukee Brewers
8–3 in last 11 home games
7–2 in last 9 vs. NL Central
Unders hit in 6 of last 9 Peralta starts
Brewers 5–1 in last six double‑header Game 1s
Pittsburgh Pirates
4–6 in last 10 road games
3–7 in last 10 vs. teams above .500
Overs hit in 5 of last 7 Priester starts
Pirates 1–4 in last five double‑header Game 2s
Head‑to‑Head Trends
Brewers have covered run line in 6 of last 9
Brewers average 5.3 runs per game vs. PIT since 2023
Pirates have scored 3 or fewer in 7 of last 10 vs. MIL
GAME ODDS
Milwaukee Brewers – 120
Pittsburgh Pirates 8.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, July 10, 2026
