First Pitch: 7:45 PM CT / 8:45 PM ET
Venue: Busch Stadium, 700 Clark Ave, St. Louis, MO
Surface: Kentucky Bluegrass
Broadcast: Bally Sports Midwest / Bally Wisconsin
Weather Report — St. Louis, MO
Busch Stadium is outdoors, and early July brings classic Midwest heat.
Temperature: 86–89°F at first pitch
Wind: 6–10 mph blowing out to left‑center
Humidity: 60–70%
Weather Impact:
Slight boost to right‑handed pull power
Warm, humid air helps carry well‑struck balls
Mild advantage for hitters, especially in late innings
Probable Pitchers
MIL — LHP Shane Drohan
(Season profile based on 2026 scouting reports and performance trends)
Record: 6–4
ERA: 3.42
WHIP: 1.27
K/BB: Solid strike‑thrower, improving command
Pitch Mix:
4‑seam fastball 92–94
Sweeping slider
Changeup with late tumble
Strengths: Keeps ball on the ground, neutralizes right‑handed power
Weaknesses: Can struggle third time through order
STL — RHP Logan May
Record: 7–5
ERA: 3.88
WHIP: 1.31
K/BB: Above‑average strikeout rate
Pitch Mix:
Heavy sinker usage
Hard slider
Occasional curve
Strengths: Generates weak contact, strong at home
Weaknesses: Brewers’ left‑handed bats match up well
Team Records & Form
Milwaukee Brewers (55–33)
NL Central Leader
Last 10: 7–3
Road Record: 27–18
Runs/Game: 4.92
Team ERA: 3.71
Trend: Balanced, consistent, excellent bullpen late
St. Louis Cardinals (47–40)
NL Wild Card Position
Last 10: 6–4
Home Record: 25–19
Runs/Game: 4.41
Team ERA: 4.02
Trend: Surging offense, pitching stabilizing
Injury Report
Brewers
No major new injuries reported entering July 6
Bullpen fully available
Cardinals
No new injuries reported
Everyday lineup intact
Both teams enter the matchup healthy and at full strength.
Key Player Matchups
Brewers Offense vs Logan May
Christian Yelich: .290 vs RHP, elite OBP
William Contreras: .275, 15 HR — strong vs sinker/slider combos
Rhys Hoskins: Pull power plays well with wind blowing out
Milwaukee’s left‑handed core (Yelich, Frelick, Chourio) matches up well against May’s sinker.
Cardinals Offense vs Shane Drohan
Paul Goldschmidt: .310 vs LHP, excellent low‑ball hitter
Nolan Arenado: .295 vs LHP, thrives vs changeups
Jordan Walker: .265, emerging power threat
Drohan’s changeup is key — if he keeps it down, he can neutralize STL’s right‑handed sluggers.
Series History
Brewers lead the season series 4–3
Last meeting: MIL 6, STL 4
Brewers have won 7 of last 10 at Busch Stadium
Cardinals have won 5 of last 7 overall vs left‑handed starters
This matchup has been tight for two seasons, with Milwaukee slightly better in St. Louis.
Betting Trends
Milwaukee
7–3 last 10
5–2 last 7 road games
Under has hit in 6 of last 9 Brewers games
Brewers are excellent vs RHP (top‑10 OPS)
St. Louis
6–4 last 10
4–1 last 5 home games
Over has hit in 7 of last 10 Cardinals games
Cardinals strong vs LHP (top‑8 OPS)
Head‑to‑Head
Road team has won 5 of last 7
Underdog has covered 4 straight
Game Odds
Milwaukee Brewers – 112
St. Louis Cardinals 8
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, July 5, 2026
