Chase Field — Phoenix, AZ
First Pitch: 1:10 PM MST
Venue & Conditions
Chase Field
Surface: Natural grass
Dimensions: 330 LF / 407 CF / 334 RF
Roof: Expected closed due to extreme heat
Ballpark Profile: Neutral with roof closed; slightly hitter‑friendly when open.
Weather Forecast — Phoenix, AZ
Temperature: 106–112°F (roof closed)
Conditions: Extremely hot, dry desert air
Wind: Minimal impact indoors
Rain Chance: <5%
Impact: With the roof closed, conditions favor pitchers slightly; ball carries less than in open‑air heat.
Team Overview
Milwaukee Brewers (54–33)
Last 10 Games: 7–3
Road Record: 27–18
Run Differential: +62
Recent Form: Elite pitching; offense efficient; bullpen among MLB’s best.
Arizona Diamondbacks (44–44)
Last 10 Games: 5–5
Home Record: 22–22
Run Differential: -14
Recent Form: Offense inconsistent; rotation stabilizing; bullpen volatile.
Starting Pitchers
Milwaukee — RHP Sproat
2026 Stats:
ERA: 3.38
WHIP: 1.19
K/9: 9.4
BB/9: 2.7
Recent Starts: 6 IP, 2 ER; 7 IP, 1 ER; 5 IP, 3 ER
Profile:
Power fastball with late life
Slider is his out pitch
Excellent vs. right‑handed hitters
Matchup Outlook:
Diamondbacks’ right‑handed core (Marte, Walker, Moreno) must adjust to elevated fastball
Roof‑closed conditions help Sproat’s fly‑ball tendencies
Arizona — LHP Eduardo Rodriguez
2026 Stats:
ERA: 4.11
WHIP: 1.29
K/9: 8.6
BB/9: 3.0
Recent Starts: 6 IP, 2 ER; 5 IP, 4 ER; 7 IP, 1 ER
Profile:
Fastball/cutter/changeup mix
Generates weak contact when sharp
Struggles vs. right‑handed power
Matchup Outlook:
Brewers’ right‑handed bats (Contreras, Adames, Hoskins) match well vs. Rodriguez
Must avoid middle‑in cutters to Hoskins
Injury Report
Milwaukee
OUT:
RP Trevor Megill — elbow soreness
QUESTIONABLE:
OF Christian Yelich — minor back tightness
ACTIVE:
William Contreras fully healthy
Willy Adames available
Arizona
OUT:
RP Kevin Ginkel — shoulder inflammation
QUESTIONABLE:
OF Alek Thomas — minor ankle soreness
ACTIVE:
Ketel Marte fully healthy
Corbin Carroll available
Key Player Matchups
1. Willy Adames (MIL) vs. Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI)
Adames handles left‑handed pitching well
Rodriguez must keep cutter below the zone
2. Ketel Marte (ARI) vs. Sproat (MIL)
Marte’s bat speed vs. Sproat’s elevated fastball
Roof‑closed conditions reduce HR risk
3. Rhys Hoskins (MIL) vs. Diamondbacks Bullpen
Hoskins’ late‑inning power is dangerous
Arizona’s bullpen allows high HR rates
4. Corbin Carroll (ARI) vs. Sproat
Carroll’s speed challenges Sproat’s control
Brewers must keep Carroll off the bases
Series History
2026 Season Series: First meeting
Last 10 Meetings: Brewers lead 6–4
Trend: Milwaukee has matched up well vs. Arizona’s pitching; Diamondbacks struggle vs. high‑strikeout starters.
Recent Team Form
Brewers
Offense averaging 4.9 runs over last 10
Rotation ERA last week: 3.12
Bullpen ERA: 3.28
Diamondbacks
Offense averaging 4.2 runs over last 10
Rotation ERA last week: 4.33
Bullpen ERA: 4.71
Betting Trends
Brewers are 8–3 in their last 11 road games
Diamondbacks are 4–6 in their last 10 overall
Under has hit in 6 of last 9 games at Chase Field with roof closed
Brewers are 11–4 in Sproat’s last 15 starts
Diamondbacks are 3–7 in Rodriguez’s last 10 starts
Game Odds
Milwaukee Brewers – 117
Arizona Diamondbacks 9
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, July 4, 2026
