First Pitch: 7:10 PM CT
Probable Pitchers:
- MIL — Robert Henderson (RHP)
- MIN — Connor Prielipp (LHP)
VENUE — TARGET FIELD
- Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
- Dimensions: 339 LF, 377 LCF, 411 CF, 367 RCF, 328 RF
- Park Factors: Slightly pitcher‑friendly; suppresses HRs to center
- Surface: Natural grass
- Weather impact: Wind blowing out to left can boost RH pull hitters
WEATHER FORECAST (MINNEAPOLIS, MN)
- Temperature: 63–66°F at first pitch
- Sky: Partly cloudy
- Humidity: 54%
- Wind: 10–13 mph blowing out to left field
- Chance of Rain: <10%
- Expected Conditions: Mildly hitter‑friendly for RH power bats
INJURY REPORT
MILWAUKEE BREWERS
- Christian Yelich — Day‑to‑day (back tightness)
- William Contreras — Probable (rest day Friday)
- Rhys Hoskins — OUT (knee inflammation)
- DL Hall — OUT (shoulder strain)
- Garrett Mitchell — OUT (hamstring)
MINNESOTA TWINS
- Carlos Correa — Probable (heel soreness)
- Royce Lewis — OUT (quad strain)
- Max Kepler — Day‑to‑day (wrist soreness)
- Bailey Ober — OUT (forearm tightness)
- Jhoan Duran — OUT (elbow)
TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM
MILWAUKEE BREWERS (25–17)
- Last 10 games: 6–4
- Road record: 12–10
- Run differential: +27
- Strengths: Deep lineup, strong bullpen, elite team speed
- Weaknesses: Inconsistent starting pitching, injuries to middle‑order bats
MINNESOTA TWINS (20–25)
- Last 10 games: 4–6
- Home record: 10–12
- Run differential: –18
- Strengths: Solid contact hitters, improving young pitching
- Weaknesses: Missing key bats (Lewis), bullpen instability without Duran
STARTING PITCHER BREAKDOWN
MIL — ROBERT HENDERSON (RHP)
2026 Season Stats
- Record: 4–2
- ERA: 3.74
- WHIP: 1.22
- K/BB: 45/13
- Last 3 starts: 17.1 IP, 7 ER, 18 K
Pitch Mix
- Four‑seam (96)
- Slider (87)
- Curveball (79)
- Changeup (84)
Matchup Notes
- Twins struggle vs high‑velo RHP
- Henderson’s slider is a major weapon vs Minnesota’s RH‑heavy lineup
- Key risk: If his fastball command is off, Twins’ contact hitters can string rallies
MIN — CONNOR PRIELIPP (LHP)
2026 Season Stats
- Record: 2–3
- ERA: 4.29
- WHIP: 1.34
- K/BB: 36/16
- Last 3 starts: 14.2 IP, 10 ER, 12 K
Pitch Mix
- Four‑seam (93)
- Slider (84)
- Changeup (82)
Matchup Notes
- Brewers’ lineup is right‑hand heavy, which is a problem for Prielipp
- His slider is good, but command is inconsistent
- Milwaukee’s aggressive hitters (Adames, Contreras, Frelick) match up well
- Key risk: Walks — Brewers feast on free passes
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. Willy Adames vs Connor Prielipp
- Adames crushes LHP (.290 AVG, .520 SLG career vs lefties)
- Prielipp must keep the slider down
- Huge matchup swing
2. Carlos Correa vs Robert Henderson
- Correa hits high‑velo RHP well
- Henderson must avoid middle‑in fastballs
- Correa is Minnesota’s most dangerous bat
3. William Contreras vs Twins’ bullpen
- Contreras excels vs late‑inning fastballs
- Minnesota’s bullpen is thin without Duran
4. Trevor Larnach vs Henderson’s slider
- Larnach struggles vs breaking balls
- Henderson’s slider could neutralize him
SERIES HISTORY
- 2025 season series: Brewers 3 – Twins 1
- At Target Field: Brewers have won 5 of last 7
- Last 10 meetings: Brewers 7 – Twins 3
- Unders hit in 6 of last 10 matchups
- Brewers’ pitching has dominated this matchup recently
BETTING TRENDS
MILWAUKEE
- 6–2 in last 8 road games
- 5–1 in Henderson’s last 6 starts
- Over is 4–1 in last 5 games
MINNESOTA
- 3–6 in last 9 home games
- 1–4 in Prielipp’s last 5 starts
- Under is 5–2 in last 7 games
HEAD‑TO‑HEAD
- Brewers 7–3 last 10
- Under 6–4 last 10
- Road team 4–1 last 5
Game Odds
Milwaukee Brewers – 126
Minnesota Twins 8.5
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 15, 2026
