First Pitch: 7:15 PM CT
Venue: American Family Field — Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Broadcast: Bally Sports Florida / Bally Sports Wisconsin / MLB.TV
Venue & Environment
Ballpark: American Family Field
Surface: Retractable roof (roof status depends on weather)
Dimensions: 344 LF / 371 LCF / 400 CF / 374 RCF / 345 RF
Park Factor: Slightly hitter‑friendly, especially for RHB pull power and high‑launch fly balls.
Weather Forecast (Milwaukee, WI)
Temperature: 83–86°F Conditions: Partly cloudy, humid Wind: SW at 8–12 mph Roof Expectation: Likely closed due to humidity and evening thunderstorms in the region Impact:
Closed roof → consistent hitting conditions
Boost to fly‑ball carry
Slightly hitter‑friendly environment for power bats
Team Overview
Miami Marlins (52–47)
Starting Pitcher: Eury Pérez (RHP) Record: 52–47 Last 10 Games: 6–4 Road Record: 25–24 Run Differential: +18 Form: Strong pitching; offense inconsistent but improving.
The Marlins have leaned heavily on their rotation, and Pérez has been electric since returning to full strength. Their offense remains streaky but has shown better plate discipline in July.
Milwaukee Brewers (61–37)
Starting Pitcher: Robert Gasser (LHP) Record: 61–37 Last 10 Games: 7–3 Home Record: 33–17 Run Differential: +62 Form: Excellent; lineup hot; pitching deep and reliable.
The Brewers have been one of MLB’s most consistent teams, dominating at home and getting strong contributions from both veterans and young arms.
Injury Report
Marlins
Jazz Chisholm Jr. — DAY‑TO‑DAY (knee soreness)
Jake Burger — IL (oblique)
Trevor Rogers — IL (shoulder)
A.J. Puk — IL (lat strain)
Impact: Chisholm’s status is critical for Miami’s speed and power. Burger’s absence hurts middle‑order pop.
Brewers
Christian Yelich — DAY‑TO‑DAY (back tightness)
Brandon Woodruff — IL (shoulder recovery)
Devin Williams — IL (back)
Rhys Hoskins — IL (foot)
Impact: Yelich’s availability affects the top of the order. Williams’ absence weakens late‑inning dominance, but the bullpen has held up.
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
Miami — Eury Pérez (RHP)
ERA: 2.88
WHIP: 1.05
K/BB: 4.5
Last 5 Starts: 3–1, 2.60 ERA
Splits:
Road ERA: 3.10
Vs. RHB: .210 avg allowed
Vs. LHB: .232 avg allowed
Profile: Pérez brings elite velocity, a devastating slider, and a rising changeup. His strikeout ability neutralizes power‑heavy teams. American Family Field’s roof‑closed environment suits his swing‑and‑miss profile.
Milwaukee — Robert Gasser (LHP)
ERA: 3.54
WHIP: 1.22
K/BB: 3.1
Last 5 Starts: 3–1, 3.20 ERA
Splits:
Home ERA: 3.05
Vs. RHB: .248 avg allowed
Vs. LHB: .230 avg allowed
Profile: Gasser mixes a mid‑90s fastball with a sharp cutter and curveball. He’s tough on lefties and has been excellent at home. Miami’s right‑handed bats match up reasonably well, but Gasser’s command has been sharp.
Key Player Matchups
Marlins Offense vs Gasser
Josh Bell: Strong vs LHP; key middle‑order bat
Bryan De La Cruz: Excellent vs cutters; power threat
Jesús Sánchez: Struggles vs LHP; limited impact
Tim Anderson: Contact hitter; needs BABIP luck
Advantage: Slight Brewers edge due to Gasser’s home splits.
Brewers Offense vs Pérez
Willy Adames: Power threat; strong vs high‑velocity fastballs
William Contreras: Elite vs RHP; excellent plate discipline
Sal Frelick: Contact hitter; tough matchup vs elite velocity
Joey Wiemer: Struggles vs sliders; vulnerable
Advantage: Marlins (Pérez mismatch vs Milwaukee’s swing‑heavy lineup)
Series History
2026 Season Series: First meeting
Last 10 Meetings: Brewers lead 6–4
At American Family Field (last 6): Brewers 4–2
Milwaukee has historically handled Miami well at home.
Betting Trends
Marlins
6–4 last 10 games
7–3 last 10 with Pérez starting
Under is 6–4 in last 10 (pitching strong)
Brewers
7–3 last 10 games
8–2 last 10 at home
Over is 6–4 in last 10 (offense hot)
Head‑to‑Head
Brewers ML has hit in 4 of last 6
Under has hit in 5 of last 7
Game Odds
Miami Marlins 8
Milwaukee Brewers – 125
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, July 18, 2026
