Probable Pitchers: RHP Gus Gusto (MIA) vs. RHP Andre Pallante (STL)
Location: Busch Stadium – St. Louis, Missouri
First Pitch: 4:15 PM ET / 3:15 PM CT
Broadcast: Bally Sports Midwest / Bally Sports Florida / MLB.TV
Venue Profile – Busch Stadium
Type: Outdoor
Capacity: ~45,500
Dimensions:
LF: 336 ft
CF: 400 ft
RF: 335 ft
Ballpark Factors:
Slightly pitcher‑friendly
Suppresses HRs to center
Boosts doubles in the gaps
Impact:
Good for ground‑ball pitchers like Pallante
Miami’s contact‑heavy lineup benefits from large outfield space
Weather Forecast – St. Louis, MO
Temperature: 87–90°F
Wind: 8–12 mph blowing out to left
Humidity: High (typical Midwest summer)
Conditions: Mostly sunny
Impact:
Warm, humid air boosts carry on fly balls
Slightly hitter‑friendly conditions
Advantage for right‑handed pull hitters
Injury Report
Miami Marlins
Jazz Chisholm Jr. – ACTIVE
Josh Bell – ACTIVE
Jake Burger – DAY‑TO‑DAY (hamstring)
Sandy Alcantara – OUT (Tommy John recovery)
Edward Cabrera – OUT (shoulder)
St. Louis Cardinals
Paul Goldschmidt – ACTIVE
Nolan Arenado – ACTIVE
Lars Nootbaar – DAY‑TO‑DAY (wrist)
Tommy Edman – OUT (ankle)
Ryan Helsley – OUT (forearm)
Probable Pitchers
Miami – RHP Gus Gusto
2026 Season: 5–4, 3.77 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Last 5 Starts: 3–1, 3.41 ERA
Strengths:
Good fastball/slider combo
Generates weak contact
Strong vs. right‑handed hitters
Concerns:
Can struggle with command early
Cardinals’ lineup has several hitters who excel vs. sliders
St. Louis – RHP Andre Pallante
2026 Season: 6–5, 3.68 ERA, 1.29 WHIP
Last 5 Starts: 3–2, 3.22 ERA
Strengths:
Elite ground‑ball rate
Effective sinker/slider mix
Excellent at home (3.11 ERA at Busch)
Concerns:
Miami’s left‑handed bats (Chisholm, Sánchez) match up well
Can be hit hard if sinker elevates
Team Records & Recent Form
Miami Marlins (43–39)
Last 10: 6–4
Road Record: 21–20
Run Differential: +14
Trend: Pitching stabilizing; offense inconsistent but improving
St. Louis Cardinals (42–37)
Last 10: 5–5
Home Record: 22–16
Run Differential: +9
Trend: Offense streaky; bullpen shaky without Helsley
Series History
2025 Season Series: Cardinals won 4–2
2026 Season Series: Cardinals lead 1–0 (won 3–2 on June 26)
At Busch Stadium (last 12): Cardinals lead 8–4
Key Trend: St. Louis consistently wins close, low‑scoring games vs. Miami at home
Key Player Matchups
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) vs. Andre Pallante
Edge: Miami
Chisholm thrives vs. sinkerballers and has been hot in June. Pallante’s pitch mix plays into his left‑handed power.
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) vs. Gus Gusto
Edge: St. Louis
Goldschmidt crushes sliders and has a .310+ career average vs. right‑handed fastball/slider pitchers.
Nolan Arenado (STL) vs. Miami’s Infield Defense
Edge: St. Louis
Arenado’s line‑drive approach plays well against Miami’s average infield range.
Jesús Sánchez (MIA) vs. Cardinals’ Bullpen
Edge: Miami
With Helsley out, St. Louis’ late‑inning relief is vulnerable. Sánchez excels in high‑leverage spots.
Statistical Comparison
| Category | Marlins | Cardinals | Edge |
| Runs/Game | 4.29 | 4.41 | Cardinals |
| Team ERA | 3.98 | 4.12 | Marlins |
| Bullpen ERA | 3.89 | 4.31 | Marlins |
| HR | 82 | 94 | Cardinals |
| OPS | .721 | .734 | Cardinals |
| Defensive Runs Saved | +8 | +11 | Cardinals |
Cardinals hold slight offensive and defensive edges; Miami holds pitching edge.
Betting Trends
Cardinals are 7–3 in their last 10 home games vs. Miami
Marlins are 5–2 in their last 7 road games
Cardinals overs have hit in 6 of last 9
Marlins unders have hit in 5 of last 8
Pallante has a 3.22 ERA in his last 5 starts
Game Odds
Miami Marlins 8.5
St. Louis Cardinals – 136
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, June 26, 2026
