MLB Game Preview: Miami Marlins (34-45) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (41-39)

Match Details

• Fixture: Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks
• Competition: Major League Baseball – Regular Season
• Date: Friday, June 27, 2025
• First Pitch: 9:40 PM ET
• Venue: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
• Broadcast: Bally Sports Florida, Bally Sports Arizona, Fubo (regional restrictions may apply)

Match Significance

This Marlins vs Diamondbacks MLB 2025 series opener features two teams with contrasting momentum. Arizona is pushing for a Wild Card spot in the NL West, while Miami is looking to build on a modest four-game win streak and climb out of the NL East cellar. The D-backs have dominated the season series so far, leading 3-0.

Miami Marlins – Team Overview

• Record: 34-45 (4th in NL East)
• Last 10 Games: 6-4
• Manager: Skip Schumaker
• Probable Starter: Eury Pérez (RHP, 0-2, ERA TBD)

Strengths

• Otto Lopez (.298 AVG, .470 SLG) and Jesús Sánchez (.495 xSLG) provide offensive spark
• Aggressive base running: 68 stolen bases (top 10 in MLB)
• Improved contact hitting: .253 team AVG ranks 14th in MLB

Concerns

• 27th in home runs (66) and 20th in slugging (.384)
• Pérez has struggled with command and is still seeking his first win
• Bullpen has a 4.89 ERA over the last 15 games

Keys to Victory

Pérez must limit walks and keep the ball in the park. If the Marlins can manufacture runs through contact and speed, they could pressure Arizona’s bullpen late.

Arizona Diamondbacks – Team Overview

• Record: 41-39 (4th in NL West)
• Last 10 Games: 5-5
• Manager: Torey Lovullo
• Probable Starter: Merrill Kelly (RHP, 7-3, 3.39 ERA, 93 K in 93.2 IP)

Strengths

• Top-3 offense in MLB: 413 runs scored, .779 OPS
• Ketel Marte: .313 AVG, 15 HR, 1.012 OPS since May 2
• Kelly has 9 quality starts and a 1.054 WHIP

Concerns

• Bullpen volatility in close games
• Kelly has allowed 6+ hits in 3 of last 5 starts
• 20-18 home record – solid but not dominant

Keys to Victory

Kelly must continue his efficient form and work deep into the game. If Marte and Eugenio Suárez stay hot, Arizona’s offense should overwhelm Miami’s pitching.

Head-to-Head & Betting Insights

• Season Series: Diamondbacks lead 3-0
• Last Meeting: D-backs 6, Marlins 4 (April 17, 2025)

Recent Trends

• Diamondbacks: 5.4 runs/game, 14 HR in last 10 games
• Marlins: 4.1 runs/game, .249 AVG in last 10
• Over/Under: Total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona’s last 10 games

Tactical Insight & Prediction

Expect Arizona to press early against Pérez, who’s still finding his rhythm. Kelly’s consistency and the D-backs’ explosive offense give them the edge, but Miami’s recent form and contact-heavy approach could keep it close.