Nationals Park — Washington, D.C.
First Pitch: 6:45 PM ET / 3:45 PM PT
Broadcast: MASN, Bally Sports Florida, MLB.TV
Probable Pitchers:
MIA — Sandy Alcantara (RHP)
WSH — Cade Cavalli (RHP)
VENUE & WEATHER
Venue: Nationals Park Surface: Natural grass Weather:
Temperature: 79°F at first pitch
Wind: Light SSW breeze 5–7 mph (slight boost to LF)
Conditions: Clear, low humidity
Impact: Slightly hitter‑friendly but still neutral overall
INJURY REPORT
Miami Marlins
Jazz Chisholm Jr. — Probable (shoulder soreness)
Jake Burger — Out (oblique)
Jesús Luzardo — Out (forearm)
A.J. Puk — Day‑to‑Day (back tightness)
Washington Nationals
CJ Abrams — Probable (ankle)
Lane Thomas — Probable (hamstring)
Josiah Gray — Out (elbow)
Keibert Ruiz — Day‑to‑Day (illness)
Both teams have key bats nursing minor issues, but the Nationals are closer to full strength.
TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM
MIAMI MARLINS (26–34)
Last 10: 4–6 Road Record: 12–18 Run Differential: ‑41
Miami continues to struggle with:
Inconsistent offense
Lack of power (bottom‑5 HR rate)
Bullpen volatility
Poor performance in close games
Bright spot: Sandy Alcantara is rounding into form after a slow April.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS (31–29)
Last 10: 6–4 Home Record: 17–13 Run Differential: +12
Washington is outperforming expectations thanks to:
Improved pitching depth
Strong defense
Abrams’ breakout season
Cavalli’s steady development
The Nats are 10–4 in their last 14 home games.
STARTING PITCHING MATCHUP
MIA — Sandy Alcantara (RHP)
2026 Stats:
4–6, 3.88 ERA
1.21 WHIP
8.3 K/9
54% ground‑ball rate
Profile:
Power sinker
Devastating changeup
Elite stamina
Vulnerable early in games this season
Key Factor: Nationals are a strong fastball‑hitting team but struggle vs. elite changeups — advantage Alcantara if he commands it.
WSH — Cade Cavalli (RHP)
2026 Stats:
5–3, 3.41 ERA
1.17 WHIP
9.1 K/9
32% CSW rate
Profile:
Power four‑seam
Sharp curveball
Improved command
Dominant at home (2.74 ERA at Nationals Park)
Key Factor: Miami ranks bottom‑10 vs. high‑velocity fastballs.
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) vs. Cavalli
Chisholm struggles vs. high fastballs — Cavalli’s strength. Advantage: Nationals
Luis Arraez (MIA) vs. Cavalli
Arraez can neutralize velocity with elite bat‑to‑ball skills. Advantage: Even
CJ Abrams (WSH) vs. Alcantara
Abrams’ speed vs. Alcantara’s ground‑ball profile is fascinating. If Abrams gets on, he can disrupt the game. Advantage: Nationals (slightly)
Lane Thomas (WSH) vs. Miami Bullpen
Thomas crushes lefties and late‑inning fastballs. Miami’s bullpen is bottom‑5 in ERA. Advantage: Nationals
SERIES HISTORY
Last 10 meetings: Nationals lead 6–4
At Nationals Park: Washington has won 7 of last 11
Average margin last 5 games: Nationals +1.8
Washington has quietly controlled this matchup recently.
BETTING TRENDS
Miami Marlins
3–7 in last 10 road games
Under is 5–2 in last 7
2–8 in Alcantara’s last 10 road starts
Washington Nationals
10–4 in last 14 home games
Under is 4–1 in last 5
6–1 in Cavalli’s last 7 starts
Head‑to‑Head
Nationals 7–3 last 10 at home vs. Miami
Unders hit in 6 of last 9 meetings
GAME ODDS
Miami Marlins 8
Washington Nationals – 135
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Sunday, May 31, 2026
