First Pitch: 7:07 PM ET
Venue: Rogers Centre — Toronto, Ontario
Probable Pitchers: RHP Sandy Alcantara (MIA) vs. RHP Adam Fisher (TOR)
Venue Profile — Rogers Centre
- Location: Downtown Toronto
- Roof: Expected CLOSED (cool, rainy conditions outside)
- Dimensions: LF 328 ft, CF 400 ft, RF 328 ft
- Park Factor: Historically hitter-friendly, especially for right-handed power
- Surface: Artificial turf
- Notes:
- Closed roof boosts offense due to warm, controlled indoor air.
- Turf increases ground-ball speed, helping contact hitters.
- HRs to left field are common when the roof is closed.
Weather Forecast
Roof expected closed — weather will not affect gameplay.
- Outside Temperature: 59–62°F
- Wind: 10–15 mph from the west
- Humidity: 70%
- Impact:
- Indoor conditions favor consistent offense.
- Pitchers who rely on movement may see reduced break in warm indoor air.
Injury Report
Miami Marlins
- Jazz Chisholm Jr. — Day-to-day (ankle)
- Jake Burger — 10‑day IL (oblique)
- Edward Cabrera — 15‑day IL (shoulder)
- A.J. Puk — 60‑day IL (elbow)
Toronto Blue Jays
- Bo Bichette — Day-to-day (hamstring)
- Daulton Varsho — 10‑day IL (wrist)
- Kevin Gausman — 15‑day IL (forearm)
- Jordan Romano — 60‑day IL (elbow)
Team Records & Recent Form
Miami Marlins (26–29)
- Last 10: 5–5
- Road Record: 11–15
- Run Differential: –19
- Trend: Alcantara stabilizing rotation; offense inconsistent but improving.
Toronto Blue Jays (25–29)
- Last 10: 4–6
- Home Record: 12–13
- Run Differential: –22
- Trend: Pitching depth strained; offense reliant on Guerrero and Springer.
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
MIA — RHP Sandy Alcantara
- 2026 Stats: 3.41 ERA | 1.12 WHIP | 8.6 K/9
- Profile:
- Power sinker (97–99 mph) with elite arm-side run.
- Slider and changeup generate weak contact.
- Ground-ball machine — ideal for turf surface.
- Matchup Notes:
- Blue Jays struggle vs. elite velocity.
- Guerrero Jr. and Springer are the only consistent threats vs. Alcantara’s arsenal.
TOR — RHP Adam Fisher
- 2026 Stats: 4.52 ERA | 1.33 WHIP | 8.0 K/9
- Profile:
- Four-seam/slider pitcher with average command.
- Vulnerable to LHB power and high-contact lineups.
- Struggles when forced into deep counts.
- Matchup Notes:
- Marlins’ left-handed bats (Chisholm if active, Sánchez, Arraez) match up well.
- Miami ranks top‑10 in MLB in hard-hit rate vs. RHP sliders.
Key Player Matchups
Marlins Hitters vs. Fisher
- Luis Arraez: Elite contact; turf boosts his BABIP.
- Jesús Sánchez: Power bat; strong matchup vs. Fisher’s fastball.
- Jazz Chisholm Jr.: If active, ideal matchup vs. RHP with average command.
Blue Jays Hitters vs. Alcantara
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: Best chance for extra-base damage; elite vs. sinkers.
- George Springer: Handles high-velo well; HR candidate.
- Alejandro Kirk: Contact bat but limited power vs. Alcantara’s movement.
Series History
- 2025 Season: Marlins won 3–1.
- 2026 Season (so far): First meeting.
- At Rogers Centre (last 3 years): Blue Jays 4–3.
- Trend: Low-scoring games common when Alcantara pitches.
Betting Trends
Miami Marlins
- 6–2 in last 8 Alcantara starts
- Under is 7–3 in last 10 games
- Marlins 5–1 in last 6 vs. AL East
Toronto Blue Jays
- 3–7 in last 10 home games
- Over is 6–2 in last 8 games
- Blue Jays 2–8 in last 10 vs. teams above .500
Head-to-Head
- Under is 5–2 in last 7 meetings
- Road team is 4–1 in last 5
Game Odds
Miami Marlins 8
Toronto Blue Jays – 139
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, May 25, 2026
