Venue: Citi Field
Location: 41 Seaver Way, Queens, New York
First Pitch: 1:40 PM EDT / 10:40 AM PDT
Surface: Natural grass — pitcher‑friendly, especially in deep right‑center.
Weather Forecast
Temperature: 87°F
Humidity: 61%
Wind: 12 mph SSW (blowing out toward left field)
Sky: Mostly sunny
Game Impact:
Warm, humid air boosts carry.
Slight advantage to right‑handed pull hitters.
Citi Field still plays neutral‑to‑pitcher‑friendly overall.
Team Form & Context
Los Angeles Dodgers (67–38)
Recent Form: 8–2 in last 10
Road Record: One of MLB’s best
Offense: Top‑3 in runs; elite OBP; deep lineup
Pitching: Rotation stabilizing; bullpen top‑5
Motivation: Chasing best record in MLB; strong NL West lead
New York Mets (43–62)
Recent Form: 3–7 in last 10
Home Record: Below average
Offense: Middle‑tier power; inconsistent OBP
Pitching: Rotation volatile; bullpen bottom‑10
Motivation: Rebuilding season; evaluating young core
Injury Reports
Los Angeles Dodgers
Walker Buehler (RHP): 15‑day IL, elbow soreness
Max Muncy (3B): Day‑to‑day, quad tightness
Gavin Lux (SS): Day‑to‑day, wrist soreness
Blake Treinen (RHP): Out, shoulder rehab
New York Mets
Francisco Lindor (SS): Day‑to‑day, hamstring tightness
Pete Alonso (1B): 10‑day IL, hand fracture
Kodai Senga (RHP): Out, shoulder inflammation
Edwin Díaz (CL): Day‑to‑day, back stiffness
Pitching Breakdown
Emmet Sheehan – RHP, Dodgers
2026 Form: Strong mid‑rotation arm; improved command
Last 3 Starts:
6.0 IP, 2 ER vs. COL
5.1 IP, 1 ER vs. SD
6.2 IP, 3 ER vs. SF
Strengths: High‑spin fastball, good extension, swing‑and‑miss slider
Weaknesses: Occasional HR issues vs. left‑handed hitters
Matchup Outlook: Mets’ left‑handed bats (McNeil, Nimmo) pose moderate threat.
Freddy Peralta – RHP, Mets
2026 Form: High‑strikeout arm; inconsistent command
Last 3 Starts:
5.0 IP, 4 ER vs. ATL
6.0 IP, 2 ER vs. MIA
4.2 IP, 5 ER vs. PHI
Strengths: Elite strikeout rate; nasty fastball/slider combo
Weaknesses: Walks; vulnerable to patient, power‑heavy lineups
Matchup Outlook: Dodgers’ disciplined lineup is a difficult assignment.
Key Player Matchups
Sheehan vs. Mets’ Left‑Handed Core
Brandon Nimmo: OBP machine; strong vs. high‑spin fastballs
Jeff McNeil: Contact hitter; thrives vs. command‑first pitchers
Francisco Lindor (if active): Switch‑hitter; strong vs. RHP Advantage: Slightly Mets
Peralta vs. Dodgers’ Right‑Handed Bats
Mookie Betts: Elite plate discipline; crushes elevated fastballs
Will Smith: Top‑5 catcher bat; excellent vs. sliders
Teoscar Hernández: Power threat; thrives vs. mistake pitches Advantage: Dodgers
Bullpen Comparison
Dodgers: Top‑5 ERA; deep leverage options
Mets: Bottom‑10; Díaz uncertain Advantage: Dodgers
Series History
Last three seasons: LAD leads 15–8
At Citi Field: LAD leads 7–4
Dodgers have won 5 of last 6 meetings.
Betting Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers
Road Favorite: 64% ATS
Road Overs: 49%
Sheehan Starts: Dodgers 7–3 last 10
New York Mets
Home Underdog: 41% ATS
Home Overs: 55% (bullpen struggles)
Peralta Starts: Mets 4–6 last 10
Head‑to‑Head Totals
Overs: 6 of last 9
Dodgers ML: Won 8 of last 10
Game Odds
Los Angeles Dodgers – 155
New York Mets 9
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, July 25, 2026
