Friday, July 18, 2025
Sports Gaming Monitor

MLB Game Preview: Kansas City Royals (38-38) vs. San Diego Padres (40-35)

First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 PM ET, with national coverage on FOX and streaming available via MLB.TV.

The Royals are riding a four-game winning streak, including a 6–5 victory in Friday’s series opener, and have climbed back to .500. The Padres, meanwhile, have lost seven of their last nine games, struggling to find consistency despite strong individual performances. Saturday’s game features a compelling pitching matchup between Noah Cameron and Dylan Cease.

Kansas City Royals: Cameron Continues Breakout Rookie Campaign

Record: 38–38 (2nd in AL Central)
Last Game: 6–5 win vs Padres
Probable Starter: Noah Cameron (2–2, 1.91 ERA)

Strengths:

  • Pitching Edge: Cameron has allowed 1 earned run or fewer in 6 of 7 starts, with a 0.90 WHIP and 2.6 BB/9.
  • Hot Bats: Kansas City has scored 6+ runs in 3 of their last 4 games.
  • Road Warriors: Royals are 8–3 in their last 11 road games.

Key Players:

  • Bobby Witt Jr.: .284 AVG, 10 HRs, 40 RBIs, 21 SBs
  • Maikel Garcia: 10-for-24 (.417) over last week
  • Jonathan India: 3-run HR in Friday’s win

San Diego Padres: Cease Looks to Regain Form

Record: 40–35 (3rd in NL West)
Last Game: 5–6 loss vs Royals
Probable Starter: Dylan Cease (2–6, 4.69 ERA)

Strengths:

  • Home Field Advantage: 21–13 at PETCO Park
  • Veteran Core: Manny Machado and Xander Bogaerts continue to produce
  • Bullpen Depth: Despite recent struggles, Padres’ relievers have a 3.67 team ERA

Concerns:

  • Cease’s Slump: Allowed 3+ earned runs in 5 of last 6 starts
  • Injury List: Yu Darvish, Michael King, Jackson Merrill, and Joe Musgrove all sidelined

Key Players:

  • Manny Machado: .311 AVG, 12 HRs, 51 RBIs
  • Fernando Tatis Jr.: .267 AVG, 13 HRs, 15 SBs
  • Luis Arraez: .283 AVG, 16 doubles, 3 HRs

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

CategoryRoyalsPadres
Team Batting Avg.248 (13th in MLB).253 (7th in MLB)
Team ERA3.90 (15th)3.67 (9th)
Home Runs84 (T-10th)78 (T-14th)
Last 10 Games6–43–7
Season SeriesRoyals lead 1–0
  • Royals are 26–12 ATS on the road, best in MLB
  • Padres are 3–7 in their last 10 games, including 0–2 in Cease’s last two starts
  • Over 7.5 total runs has hit in 7 of Padres’ last 8 games

Game Odds

Kansas City Royals           7.5

San Diego Padres             – 161

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, June 20, 2025

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