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MLB Game Preview: Houston Astros (17-18) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (19-18)

Date: May 7, 2025
Time: 1:10 PM ET
Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Broadcast: MLB Network, Bally Sports Wisconsin, AT&T SportsNet Southwest

Matchup Overview

The Houston Astros (17-18) and Milwaukee Brewers (19-18) meet for the third game of their series, with Milwaukee holding a 2-0 series lead after a 5-1 victory in Game 1 and a 4-3 win in Game 2. The Astros are looking to snap a three-game road losing streak, while the Brewers aim to continue their strong home form (12-6 record at American Family Field).

Starting Pitchers

Houston Astros – Framber Valdez (1-2, 3.86 ERA, 35 K)

  • First career start vs. Milwaukee.
  • Season Stats: 3.86 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, .238 opponent batting average.
  • Analysis: Valdez has been solid but inconsistent, struggling with command at times. He’ll need to limit Milwaukee’s power hitters.

Milwaukee Brewers – Quinn Priester (2-3, 4.75 ERA, 29 K)

  • Season Stats: 4.75 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, .251 opponent batting average.
  • Analysis: Priester has shown flashes of dominance but has struggled with walks. If he keeps Houston’s lineup in check, Milwaukee has a strong chance to win.

Key Players to Watch

Houston Astros

  • Jose Altuve – Batting .265 with five home runs, looking to spark Houston’s offense.
  • Jeremy Peña14-for-41 over his last 10 games, providing consistency.
  • Kyle Tucker – Leads the team with seven home runs and 22 RBIs.

Milwaukee Brewers

  • Jackson Chourio – Has six home runs and 24 RBIs, providing power in the lineup.
  • Christian Yelich – Batting .265 with five stolen bases, adding versatility to Milwaukee’s offense.
  • Rhys Hoskins – Delivered a clutch RBI double in Game 1, continuing his strong season.

Game Storylines & Predictions

1. Can Houston’s Offense Rebound?

The Astros managed just four runs in the first two games of the series. They’ll need better situational hitting to challenge Priester.

2. Brewers’ Home Advantage

Milwaukee has been solid at home (12-6 record), using their pitching depth to control games. If Priester dominates, they could complete the series sweep.

3. Pitching Duel – Valdez vs. Priester

Both starters have the ability to shut down opposing lineups. If Valdez limits walks and Priester keeps his strikeout rate high, this could be a low-scoring battle.

Game Odds

Houston Astros                 – 135

Milwaukee Brewers       7.5

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, May 6, 2025

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