Venue: Fenway Park — Boston, Massachusetts
First Pitch: 4:10 PM ET
Broadcast: AT&T SportsNet Southwest / NESN / MLB.tv
WEATHER REPORT — BOSTON
Temperature: 58–62°F
Wind: 12–15 mph blowing out toward the Green Monster (left field)
Sky: Partly cloudy
Impact:
Boost for right‑handed pull hitters
Fly‑ball pitchers may struggle
Fenway’s unique angles could produce extra‑base chaos
INJURY REPORT
Houston Astros
Kyle Tucker — day‑to‑day (ankle)
Framber Valdez — IL (forearm)
Cristian Javier — IL (shoulder)
Ryan Pressly — IL (elbow)
Yainer Diaz — day‑to‑day (hand)
Houston’s pitching staff is severely depleted, and the lineup is missing two key bats.
Boston Red Sox
Triston Casas — IL (rib)
Trevor Story — IL (shoulder)
Brayan Bello — IL (elbow)
Kenley Jansen — IL (hamstring)
Wilyer Abreu — day‑to‑day (wrist)
Boston’s rotation and bullpen are thin, and the lineup lacks power without Casas.
PROBABLE PITCHING MATCHUP
Houston — RHP Spencer Arrighetti (1–3, 5.62 ERA, 1.48 WHIP)
Arrighetti has electric stuff but inconsistent command. Fenway Park is a dangerous environment for a pitcher who allows hard contact.
Boston — RHP Kutter Crawford (2–2, 3.77 ERA, 1.19 WHIP)
Crawford has been Boston’s most reliable starter. His cutter/slider mix induces weak contact, and he’s been strong at home.
Pitching Edge: Boston (Crawford’s command + matchup advantage).
TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM
Houston Astros (12–21)
Last 10: 3–7
Road record: 5–11
Runs per game last 10: 3.8
Team ERA last 10: 5.12
Houston is struggling badly, especially on the mound.
Boston Red Sox (13–19)
Last 10: 4–6
Home record: 6–10
Runs per game last 10: 4.4
Team ERA last 10: 4.67
Boston is inconsistent but showing signs of offensive life.
KEY PLAYER MATCHUPS
1. Rafael Devers (BOS) vs. Spencer Arrighetti
Devers is hitting .333 with 4 HR in his last 10.
Arrighetti struggles vs. left‑handed power. Micro‑edge: Devers
2. Alex Bregman (HOU) vs. Kutter Crawford
Bregman has a .400 OBP in his last 12 games.
Crawford excels vs. right‑handed hitters with his cutter. Micro‑edge: Crawford
3. Jeremy Peña (HOU) vs. Boston Bullpen
Peña is hitting .310 over his last 15 games.
Boston’s bullpen ERA last 10: 4.91 Micro‑edge: Peña
4. Jarren Duran (BOS) vs. Houston Outfield Defense
Duran’s speed + Fenway’s gaps = extra‑base potential.
Houston’s outfield defense has been below average. Micro‑edge: Duran
SERIES HISTORY
2025–26 Season Series: Red Sox lead 1–0 (BOS won 5–3 on May 1)
Last 10 meetings: Red Sox lead 6–4
At Fenway Park: Red Sox 5–2 in last 7
Boston has controlled this matchup recently, especially at home.
BETTING TRENDS
Houston Astros
3–7 last 10
2–6 in last 8 road games
Over is 6–4 in last 10
1–5 in last 6 vs. AL East
Boston Red Sox
4–6 last 10
3–4 in last 7 home games
Over is 7–3 in last 10
5–2 in last 7 vs. AL West
Game Odds
Houston Astros 9
Boston Red Sox – 141
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, May 1, 2026
