First Pitch: 7:10 p.m. ET
Venue: Citi Field — Queens, New York
Venue & Weather Conditions
Citi Field is one of MLB’s more pitcher‑friendly parks, especially in cool May conditions. The marine air and deep alleys often suppress home‑run totals.
New York Forecast (7–10 p.m. ET):
- Temperature: 62–65°F
- Wind: 8–12 mph blowing in from right field
- Humidity: ~55%
- Precipitation: <10% — dry and clear
- Impact:
- Favors ground‑ball pitchers (Valdez, Scott)
- Suppresses right-handed pull power
- Slight lean toward unders
Injury Report
Detroit Tigers
- Riley Greene — Healthy
- Spencer Torkelson — Healthy
- Kerry Carpenter — OUT (back)
- Casey Mize — OUT (elbow)
- Framber Valdez — Healthy and scheduled to start
- Jason Foley — Healthy
New York Mets
- Pete Alonso — Healthy
- Francisco Lindor — Healthy
- Starling Marte — Day-to-day (hamstring)
- Kodai Senga — OUT (shoulder)
- Christian Scott — Healthy and scheduled to start
- Edwin Díaz — Healthy
Team Records & Recent Form
Detroit Tigers (19–23)
- Last 10: 4–6
- Road Record: 9–13
- Run Differential: -14
- Trend: Rotation stabilizing; offense inconsistent; bullpen improving.
- Yesterday: Lost 3–2 — stranded multiple scoring chances.
New York Mets (16–25)
- Last 10: 3–7
- Home Record: 8–12
- Run Differential: -33
- Trend: Offense struggling; pitching competitive; bullpen volatile.
- Yesterday: Won 3–2 — Scott rested and ready for tonight.
Probable Pitching Matchup
Tigers — LHP Framber Valdez (3–4, 3.77 ERA)
- 2026 form: Still one of MLB’s elite ground‑ball pitchers; strong command.
- Strengths: Heavy sinker; elite soft-contact rate; excellent vs. righties.
- Weaknesses: Occasional walk issues; can struggle when forced up in the zone.
- Matchup notes: Mets’ lineup is righty-heavy, but Citi Field suppresses their power.
Mets — RHP Christian Scott (2–3, 3.91 ERA)
- 2026 form: Emerging young arm; excellent fastball/slider combo; improving stamina.
- Strengths: High strikeout upside; strong vs. lefties; good home splits.
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable to patient hitters; gives up hard contact when behind.
- Matchup notes: Tigers’ lefties (Greene, Canha) match up well.
Pitching Edge: Tigers (slightly) — Valdez’s ground‑ball dominance fits Citi Field perfectly.
Key Player Matchups
Tigers Hitters vs. Christian Scott
- Riley Greene: Excellent vs. high-velocity fastballs; HR threat
- Spencer Torkelson: Power vs. sliders; key middle-of-order bat
- Mark Canha: Patient approach; can force long at-bats
Mets Hitters vs. Framber Valdez
- Pete Alonso: Best chance for damage; elite vs. lefties
- Francisco Lindor: Switch-hitter with strong numbers vs. sinkers
- Jeff McNeil: Contact-driven; can exploit Valdez’s occasional walk issues
Matchup Edge: Tigers lineup (slightly)
Series History
- 2026 Season: First meeting
- Last 10 Meetings: Tigers lead 6–4
- At Citi Field (last 5 years): Even split — 50/50
Detroit has quietly played the Mets well in recent interleague matchups.
Betting Trends
Tigers
- Under is 6–3 in last 9
- 4–1 in Valdez’s last 5 starts
- 5–2 in last 7 vs. NL East
Mets
- 2–6 in last 8 home games
- Under is 7–3 in last 10
- 1–4 in Scott’s last 5 starts
Game Odds
Detroit Tigers 8
New York Mets – 112
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, May 12, 2026
