Venue: LoanDepot Park
Location: Miami, Florida
First Pitch: 1:40 PM ET / 10:40 AM PT
Broadcast: Bally Sports Great Lakes / Bally Sports Florida / MLB.TV
Weather Update — Miami, FL
(LoanDepot Park is retractable‑roof; weather affects roof decision, not gameplay)
Outside Temperature: 90–94°F
Humidity: 70–80%
Wind: 10–14 mph (Atlantic breeze)
Rain Chance: 50% (typical Miami summer storms)
Inside Conditions: Climate‑controlled, pitcher‑friendly environment
Impact:
Roof likely closed → suppresses home‑run distance
Favors contact hitters and ground‑ball pitchers
Team Records & Standings
Cleveland Guardians — 50–46 (3rd in AL Central)
Strong pitching depth
Offense inconsistent but improving
Road record: 23–25
Miami Marlins — 52–44 (2nd in NL East)
Elite pitching staff
Offense streaky but dangerous at home
Home record: 28–20
Injury Report
Cleveland Guardians
José Ramírez — Probable (ankle)
Josh Naylor — Out (hamstring)
Triston McKenzie — Out (shoulder)
Steven Kwan — Questionable (illness)
Miami Marlins
Jazz Chisholm Jr. — Probable (back)
Jesús Luzardo — Out (elbow)
Jake Burger — Out (foot)
Nick Fortes — Questionable (illness)
Impact:
Guardians missing Naylor reduces middle‑order power.
Marlins missing Luzardo weakens rotation depth but Phillips has stepped up.
Pitching Matchup — Joey Cantillo (CLE) vs. Evan Phillips (MIA)
Cleveland Guardians — Joey Cantillo (LHP)
Record: 5–6 ERA: 4.12 WHIP: 1.29 K/BB: Strong strikeout ability Pitch Mix: Four‑seam, slider, changeup, curveball Scouting Notes:
Slider is his best swing‑and‑miss pitch
Can struggle vs. right‑handed power
Marlins’ lineup has several right‑handed sluggers
Must avoid elevated fastballs in pitcher‑friendly park
Miami Marlins — Evan Phillips (RHP)
Record: 7–4 ERA: 3.21 WHIP: 1.14 K/BB: Excellent command Pitch Mix: Four‑seam, cutter, slider, sinker Scouting Notes:
Cutter/slider combo is elite
Guardians’ lineup struggles vs. high‑quality breaking balls
Home park suits his contact‑management style
Can dominate left‑handed hitters
Recent Team Form
Cleveland Guardians — Last 10 Games
5–5
Offense averaging 4.3 runs per game
Bullpen ERA: 3.62
Competitive but inconsistent
Miami Marlins — Last 10 Games
6–4
Offense averaging 4.6 runs per game
Rotation ERA: 3.77
Trending upward; strong home performances
Series History
All‑Time: Guardians lead 23–18
Last 10 Meetings: Guardians lead 6–4
2026 Season Series: First meeting
At LoanDepot Park: Guardians have won 4 of last 6
Key Note: Cleveland has held Miami to 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 10 meetings.
Key Player Matchups
José Ramírez (CLE) vs. Evan Phillips (MIA)
Ramírez: .278 AVG, 19 HR
Phillips’ cutter can jam switch‑hitters Edge: Slight to Phillips
Andrés Giménez (CLE) vs. Marlins Bullpen
Giménez: .264 AVG, elite contact hitter
Marlins bullpen ranks top‑10 in WHIP Edge: Marlins bullpen
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) vs. Joey Cantillo (CLE)
Chisholm: .257 AVG, 15 HR
Cantillo struggles vs. right‑handed power Edge: Chisholm
Josh Bell (MIA) vs. Guardians Pitching
Bell: .248 AVG, 13 HR
Guardians pitching struggles at times vs. switch‑hitters Edge: Bell
Statistical Comparison (2026 Season)
| Category | Guardians | Marlins |
| Runs per Game | 4.34 | 4.58 |
| Team ERA | 3.89 | 4.02 |
| Bullpen ERA | 3.45 | 3.61 |
| OPS | .714 | .732 |
| Home Runs | 98 | 112 |
| Defensive Runs Saved | +7 | +9 |
Key Insight: Marlins hold advantages in offense, home‑field performance, and lineup power; Guardians hold slight edge in bullpen.
Betting Trends
Cleveland Guardians
4–6 in last 10 road games
3–7 in last 10 vs. NL East
Unders hit in 5 of last 7 Cantillo starts
Guardians 2–5 in last seven Sunday games
Miami Marlins
7–3 in last 10 home games
6–2 in last 8 vs. teams above .500
Unders hit in 5 of last 7 Phillips starts
Marlins 5–1 in last six day games
Head‑to‑Head Trends
Guardians have covered run line in 6 of last 9
Average total last 10 meetings: 7.1 runs
Unders hit in 7 of last 10 matchups
Game Odds
Cleveland Guardians 7.5
Miami Marlins – 109
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, July 11, 2026
