First Pitch: 8:10 p.m. ET / 7:10 p.m. CT
Venue: American Family Field — Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Surface: Synthetic turf
Capacity: ~41,900
Broadcast: Bally Sports Wisconsin / Bally Sports Ohio / MLB.TV
Weather Outlook — Milwaukee, WI
American Family Field features a retractable roof, so external weather has limited impact.
Outside Conditions: Warm Midwest evening
Temperature: ~82°F
Humidity: ~55%
Wind: 8–12 mph from the southwest
Roof Status: Likely closed due to humidity and chance of late‑evening showers
Impact:
Indoor conditions favor pitching consistency
Fast turf boosts line‑drive hitters
No wind influence on fly‑ball carry
Team Records & Recent Form
Cincinnati Reds (39–46)
Last 10: 4–6
Road Record: 17–25
Runs Scored: 331
Runs Allowed: 365
Trend:
Offense inconsistent, averaging 3.7 runs over last 10
Bullpen has struggled in high‑leverage spots
Burns has been a bright spot with elite strikeout ability
Reds fighting to stay relevant in NL Wild Card race
Milwaukee Brewers (53–31)
Last 10: 7–3
Home Record: 29–14
Runs Scored: 372
Runs Allowed: 312
Trend:
One of MLB’s hottest teams
Offense balanced and deep
Bullpen remains elite
Misiorowski has electric stuff but occasional command volatility
Brewers pushing to extend NL Central lead
Injury Report (Projected)
Cincinnati Reds
SS — Questionable (thumb)
RP — OUT (forearm)
RF — Probable (shoulder)
Impact: If the shortstop sits, Cincinnati loses defensive range and a key contact bat.
Milwaukee Brewers
1B — OUT (ankle)
CF — Questionable (hamstring)
SP — IL (elbow)
Impact: Missing the starting first baseman reduces Milwaukee’s power, but lineup depth remains strong.
Starting Pitcher Breakdown
Cincinnati — Chase Burns (RHP)
Record: 5–6
ERA: 3.84
WHIP: 1.23
K/BB: Excellent strikeout rate
Pitch Mix:
Four‑seam fastball (upper‑90s)
Slider
Splitter
Curveball
Strengths: Generates elite swing‑and‑miss; strong against right‑handed hitters
Concerns: Can be homer‑prone if fastball command fades
Milwaukee — Jacob Misiorowski (RHP)
Record: 6–3
ERA: 3.51
WHIP: 1.20
K/BB: High strikeout upside
Pitch Mix:
Triple‑digit fastball
Sweeper
Curveball
Changeup
Strengths: Overpowering velocity; elite strikeout potential
Concerns: Occasional command issues; can run high pitch counts early
Key Player Matchups
Cincinnati Lineup vs. Misiorowski
Reds’ left‑handed bats must attack Misiorowski’s fastball early
If Misiorowski commands his sweeper, Cincinnati may struggle to generate hard contact
Milwaukee Lineup vs. Burns
Brewers’ right‑handed power bats match well against Burns’ fastball‑slider combo
Burns must keep the ball down to avoid Milwaukee’s home‑run tendencies
Bullpen Comparison
Cincinnati: Volatile; struggles in late innings
Milwaukee: One of MLB’s best late‑inning units
Advantage: Brewers in innings 7–9
Series History
2026 Season Series: Brewers lead 3–1
Last 10 Meetings: Brewers lead 7–3
At American Family Field: Brewers have won 9 of last 12
Trend:
Milwaukee typically wins low‑scoring early games that open up late
Cincinnati’s pitching has struggled historically in Milwaukee
Betting Trends
Cincinnati
4–6 last 10
Overs hit in 5 of last 8
Reds 3–7 in last 10 road games
Cincinnati 2–8 in last 10 vs. Milwaukee
Milwaukee
7–3 last 10
Overs hit in 6 of last 9
Brewers 8–2 in last 10 home games
Milwaukee 6–1 in last 7 vs. Cincinnati at home
Game Odds
Cincinnati Reds 7
Milwaukee Brewers – 190
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, July 1, 2026
