Venue: PNC Park – Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
First Pitch: 1:35 PM ET
Probable Pitchers: CIN – RHP Brady Singer (3–6, 4.81 ERA) vs. PIT – RHP Mitch Keller (5–5, 4.89 ERA)
Venue Profile – PNC Park
Type: Outdoor
Dimensions:
LF: 325 ft
CF: 399 ft
RF: 320 ft (short porch)
Park Factors:
One of MLB’s toughest HR environments, especially for right‑handed hitters
Boosts doubles/triples into the spacious gaps
Favors ground‑ball pitchers and contact hitters
Impact:
Both starters—Singer and Keller—benefit from the park’s HR suppression
Reds’ right‑handed power is muted here
Weather Forecast – Pittsburgh, PA
Recent games in this series have been affected by rain delays, including a 36‑minute delay on Saturday due to persistent showers.
Sunday Outlook:
Temperature: 76–80°F
Wind: Light, variable
Chance of Rain: Elevated early afternoon (based on prior day’s pattern)
Impact:
Potential for another delay
Humid, heavy air suppresses long‑ball distance
Advantage to pitchers who keep the ball down
Injury Report
Cincinnati Reds
Blake Dunn – Day‑to‑day (elbow)
Tony Santillan – 15‑Day IL (oblique)
Nick Lodolo – Day‑to‑day (wrist)
Graham Ashcraft – 60‑Day IL (forearm)
Brandon Williamson – 60‑Day IL (shoulder)
Hunter Greene – 60‑Day IL (elbow)
Pittsburgh Pirates
Spencer Horwitz – 10‑Day IL (hamstring)
Oneil Cruz – 10‑Day IL (hand)
Chris Devenski – 60‑Day IL (illness)
Wilber Dotel – 15‑Day IL (lat)
Team Records & Recent Form
Cincinnati Reds (39–42)
Last 10: 5–5
Road Record: 20–20
Team BA (last 10): .212
Team ERA (last 10): 3.80
Trend:
Offense inconsistent but clutch in this series
Pitching stabilizing despite injuries
Pittsburgh Pirates (41–42)
Last 10: 5–5
Home Record: 22–22
Team BA (last 10): .297
Team ERA (last 10): 3.48
Trend:
Offense hot, especially Bryan Reynolds
Pitching improving but still volatile
Series History
Season Series: Pirates lead 5–3
Recent Games:
Reds won Friday’s opener 6–4, tagging Paul Skenes early
Reds won Saturday’s game 9–7 after a late rally (per news recap)
Key Trend:
Reds seeking a series sweep on Sunday
Pirates have been strong at home when they don’t allow HRs (21–8)
Pitching Matchup Breakdown
CIN – RHP Brady Singer
Record: 3–6
ERA: 4.81
WHIP: 1.51
Strikeouts: 59
Recent Form:
Coming off 7 shutout innings vs. Brewers on June 22 (dominant outing)
Scouting Notes:
Heavy sinker generates ground balls
When command is sharp, he’s tough to elevate against
Pirates’ hot bats present a challenge
Matchup Outlook: Singer’s ground‑ball profile fits PNC Park perfectly, but Pittsburgh’s recent offensive surge raises volatility.
PIT – RHP Mitch Keller
Record: 5–5
ERA: 4.89
WHIP: 1.32
Strikeouts: 69
Recent Form:
Quality start vs. Seattle on June 23 (3 ER over 6 IP)
Inconsistent month overall
Scouting Notes:
Strong cutter/slider mix
Vulnerable when falling behind in counts
Reds have hit him before
Matchup Outlook: Keller’s stuff plays well at home, but Cincinnati’s lineup has been opportunistic this series.
Key Player Matchups
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) vs. Keller
Leads Reds with .268 AVG and 12 HRs
Pirates struggle vs. elite athleticism and speed Edge: Reds
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) vs. Singer
16-for-39 with 3 HR and 10 RBI over last 10 games (red‑hot) Edge: Pirates
Sal Stewart (CIN) vs. Keller
11-for-39 with 14 RBI in last 10 games (clutch bat) Edge: Reds
Nick Gonzales (PIT) vs. Singer
Team‑leading .295 AVG; excellent contact hitter Edge: Pirates
Statistical Comparison
| Category | Reds | Pirates | Edge |
| Team BA | .226 | .297 (last 10) | Pirates |
| OBP | .310 | Slightly higher recent form | Pirates |
| Team ERA | 4.51 | 3.48 (last 10) | Pirates |
| HR Allowed | 105 | Lower | Pirates |
| Road/Home Record | 20–20 | 22–22 | Even |
Betting Trends
Reds have won 4 straight road games entering Sunday
Pirates are 21–8 when they do NOT allow a HR
Reds’ offense has been explosive this series (6 and 9 runs)
Pirates’ offense hitting .297 over last 10 games
Public betting split favors Pirates (per market analysis)
Game Odds
Cincinnati Reds 9
Pittsburgh Pirates – 130
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Saturday, June 27, 2026
