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MLB Game Preview: Cincinnati Reds (28-29) vs. Chicago Cubs (35-21)

Game Overview

The Cubs enter this matchup riding a four-game winning streak, having won eight of their last ten games. Meanwhile, the Reds are 5-5 in their last ten outings, looking to bounce back after a 3-2 loss to the Kansas City Royals.

Chicago has won five of the last seven meetings between these teams, making them the favorites heading into this contest.

Starting Pitchers

TeamPitcherRecordERAWHIPStrikeouts
RedsAndrew Abbott (LHP)5-21.771.1240
CubsColin Rea (RHP)3-34.821.3638

Abbott has been dominant, allowing just two earned runs over five starts in May, including a six-hit, one-run performance against the Cubs last weekend. Rea, on the other hand, has struggled, posting a 4.82 ERA in May, including a six-run outing against Cincinnati.

Team Comparisons

CategoryRedsCubs
Record28-2935-21
Runs Per Game4.35.89
Batting Average.255.246
Home Runs6946
ERA5.404.08
Bullpen ERA4.893.72

Chicago leads MLB in runs scored, averaging 5.89 per game, while Cincinnati has struggled with pitching, ranking 19th in bullpen ERA (4.05).

Key Players to Watch

Cincinnati Reds

  • Elly De La Cruz (SS) – 11 HR, 40 RBI, hitting .275, riding a six-game hitting streak.
  • TJ Friedl (OF) – Leads the team with a .301 batting average.
  • Austin Hays (OF) – .303 AVG, six home runs, providing consistent production.

Chicago Cubs

  • Pete Crow-Armstrong (OF) – 15 HR, 42 RBI, ranking sixth in MLB in home runs.
  • Seiya Suzuki (OF) – .405 AVG over his last ten games, riding a nine-game hitting streak.
  • Kyle Tucker (OF) – 12 HR, 39 RBI, hitting .281, providing middle-of-the-order power.

Matchup Breakdown

  • Reds’ Power vs. Cubs’ Pitching – Cincinnati ranks eighth in home runs, while Chicago’s pitching staff has been inconsistent.
  • Cubs’ Contact Hitting vs. Reds’ Defense – Chicago has a solid batting average (.246) but lacks power, while Cincinnati has struggled defensively.
  • Bullpen Battle – Both teams have shaky relief pitching, making late-game execution crucial.

Game Odds

Cincinnati Reds                 8.5

Chicago Cubs                     – 170

Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Thursday, May 29, 2025

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