First Pitch: 6:35 PM ET
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards – Baltimore, Maryland
Surface: Kentucky Bluegrass
Capacity: ~45,000
Park Profile: Hitter‑friendly to RF/RCF; deep LF wall suppresses right‑handed pull power
Weather Update
Camden Yards is outdoors — weather will influence ball flight.
- Temperature: 87°F (31°C) at first pitch
- Humidity: 70%
- Wind: 9–13 mph blowing out to right‑center
- Conditions: Clear skies
- Impact:
- Boosts carry for left‑handed hitters
- Increased HR probability to RF/RCF
- Warm, humid air favors offense
Injury Report
Chicago Cubs (51–40)
- Seiya Suzuki (OF): Available – minor ankle soreness; expected to play.
- Cody Bellinger (OF/1B): Probable – quad tightness; likely in lineup.
- Dansby Swanson (SS): Available – full workload.
- Adbert Alzolay (RP): Out – elbow inflammation; 2–3 weeks.
- Team Status: Lineup healthy; bullpen missing a key leverage arm.
Baltimore Orioles (42–50)
- Adley Rutschman (C): Probable – minor thumb bruise; expected to start.
- Gunnar Henderson (SS): Available – full workload.
- Cedric Mullins (CF): Out – hamstring strain; 1–2 weeks.
- Kyle Bradish (SP): Out – elbow surgery; long‑term.
- Team Status: Core lineup intact; rotation thin.
Team Records & Recent Form
Chicago Cubs
- Record: 51–40 (2nd in NL Central)
- Last 10 Games: 6–4
- Road Record: 25–21
- Run Differential: +41
- Trend: Pitching stabilizing; offense improving with Bellinger back.
Baltimore Orioles
- Record: 42–50 (4th in AL East)
- Last 10 Games: 4–6
- Home Record: 22–25
- Run Differential: -22
- Trend: Offense inconsistent; bullpen overworked.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Colin Rea – RHP, Cubs
- 2026 Stats: 3.76 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 78 K, 28 BB
- Last 5 Starts: 3–1, 3.40 ERA
- Strengths: Cutter/sinker mix, induces weak contact, strong road splits.
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable to left‑handed power; occasional command dips.
- Matchup Note: Orioles’ left‑handed bats (Henderson, O’Hearn) could challenge him with wind blowing out.
Dean Kremer – RHP, Orioles
- 2026 Stats: 4.32 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 82 K, 30 BB
- Last 5 Starts: 1–3, 4.65 ERA
- Strengths: Good fastball/slider combo, competitive in early innings.
- Weaknesses: HR susceptibility, especially vs right‑handed power.
- Matchup Note: Cubs’ right‑handed core (Suzuki, Swanson, Morel) matches up well.
Key Player Matchups
1. Cody Bellinger (CHC) vs. Dean Kremer
Bellinger’s left‑handed power + wind blowing out = major HR threat.
2. Gunnar Henderson (BAL) vs. Colin Rea
Henderson’s elite bat speed challenges Rea’s cutter; key matchup for Baltimore’s offense.
3. Seiya Suzuki (CHC) vs. Orioles Bullpen
Suzuki’s ability to hit velocity and breaking balls makes him dangerous late.
4. Ryan O’Hearn (BAL) vs. Rea
O’Hearn’s pull power plays well in Camden Yards’ RF/RCF dimensions.
Series History
- 2026 Season Series: First meeting
- 2025 Season Series: Cubs won 2–1
- At Camden Yards (last 10 games): Even split, 5–5 Cubs have historically hit well in Baltimore, especially in warm‑weather games.
Betting Trends
Chicago Cubs
- 6–4 in last 10 games
- Over has hit in 5 of last 7 road games
- Cubs are 7–3 vs AL East in last 10
- Rea starts: Cubs 10–6 this season
Baltimore Orioles
- 4–6 in last 10 games
- Over has hit in 6 of last 9 Orioles games
- Orioles are 3–7 in last 10 vs teams above .500
- Kremer starts: Orioles 7–9 this season
Game Odds
Chicago Cubs 9.5
Baltimore Orioles – 123
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, July 7, 2026
