Citi Field, Queens, New York
First Pitch: 7:10 PM ET / 4:10 PM PT
Probable Pitchers: RHP Jordan Boyd (CHC) vs. RHP Freddy Peralta (NYM)
Venue
Citi Field — Queens, NY
Capacity: ~41,800
Dimensions: 335 ft LF, 370 ft LCF, 408 ft CF, 375 ft RCF, 330 ft RF
Park Factors:
Suppresses home runs
Boosts doubles in the gaps
Favors pitchers with strong command
Tactical Impact: Boyd’s ground‑ball tendencies fit well here; Peralta’s fly‑ball profile is riskier but mitigated by Citi Field’s size.
Weather Updates (Queens, NY)
Temperature: 81°F (27°C)
Humidity: 64%
Wind: 10 mph W (blowing out to LF)
Precipitation: 10% chance Impact: Slight boost to right‑handed pull hitters; otherwise neutral conditions.
Injury Report
Chicago Cubs
Seiya Suzuki (OF) — Probable, minor oblique tightness
Dansby Swanson (SS) — Questionable, wrist soreness
Nico Hoerner (2B) — Out, hamstring strain
Adbert Alzolay (RHP) — Out, elbow rehab Impact: Hoerner’s absence hurts CHC’s contact and defense; Swanson’s status affects infield stability.
New York Mets
Pete Alonso (1B) — Probable, ankle soreness
Francisco Lindor (SS) — Probable, quad tightness
Starling Marte (OF) — Out, hip injury
Edwin Díaz (RHP) — Out, shoulder inflammation Impact: Díaz’s absence weakens the Mets’ late‑inning reliability; Alonso’s health is crucial for run production.
Team Records & Season Context
Chicago Cubs (43–37)
Road Record: 20–21
Run Differential: +29
Identity: Strong rotation, improving bullpen, balanced offense
Notable: Cubs have won 6 of their last 9 and are firmly in the NL Wild Card mix
New York Mets (34–46)
Home Record: 17–23
Run Differential: -45
Identity: Streaky offense, inconsistent pitching, bullpen instability
Notable: Mets have lost 7 of their last 10 and are sliding in the NL East
Recent Team Form
Cubs (Last 5 Games)
W 6–3 vs STL
W 4–2 vs STL
L 1–5 vs STL
W 7–4 vs NYM
L 2–3 vs NYM Trend: Rotation strong; offense producing timely power
Mets (Last 5 Games)
L 3–7 vs CHC
W 3–2 vs CHC
L 2–6 vs ATL
L 1–4 vs ATL
L 4–8 vs ATL Trend: Pitching struggling; offense inconsistent
Probable Pitcher Matchup
CHC — RHP Jordan Boyd
2026 Stats: 3.67 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 8.6 K/9
Strengths:
Strong command
Generates ground balls
Effective vs. right‑handed hitters
Weaknesses:
Occasional trouble finishing at‑bats
Vulnerable to left‑handed power Matchup Outlook: Mets’ lefties (McNeil, Nimmo) are key threats.
NYM — RHP Freddy Peralta
2026 Stats: 4.32 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 10.8 K/9
Strengths:
High strikeout rate
Elite fastball/slider combo
Weaknesses:
High walk rate
Prone to HRs when behind in counts Matchup Outlook: Cubs’ disciplined hitters (Happ, Bellinger) could force deep counts.
Key Player Matchups
1. Cody Bellinger vs. Freddy Peralta
Bellinger excels vs. high‑velocity fastballs
Peralta must avoid middle‑in misses Advantage: Cubs
2. Pete Alonso vs. Jordan Boyd
Alonso’s power vs. Boyd’s ground‑ball approach Advantage: Even
3. Ian Happ vs. Peralta
Happ’s OBP skills vs. Peralta’s walk tendencies Advantage: Cubs
4. Francisco Lindor vs. Boyd
Lindor’s switch‑hitting versatility is key Advantage: Mets
5. Cubs Bullpen vs. Mets Late‑Game Offense
CHC bullpen ERA in June: 3.48
NYM late‑inning OPS: .631 Advantage: Cubs
Series History
2025 Season: Cubs won 4–2
2026 Season: Series tied 1–1
Cubs have won 7 of the last 10 meetings
Citi Field has been neutral for CHC (5–5 in last 10)
Betting Trends
Chicago
6 of last 9: Won ML
5 of last 7: Under
4 straight: Allowed 4 runs or fewer
New York
7 of last 10: Lost ML
6 of last 8: Over
5 straight: Allowed 5+ runs
Game Odds
Chicago Cubs 8.5
New York Mets – 108
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Wednesday, June 24, 2026
