Citi Field, Queens, NY
First Pitch: 7:10 PM ET / 4:10 PM PT
Probables: CHC — Edward Cabrera (RHP) vs NYM — Kodai Senga (RHP)
VENUE: CITI FIELD
Location: 41 Seaver Way, Queens, NY
Dimensions: 335 LF, 380 LCF, 408 CF, 375 RCF, 330 RF
Park Factors:
Suppresses home runs, especially to center
Favors pitchers with high‑spin fastballs and splitters
Wind patterns often influence scoring
Surface: Natural grass
Citi Field is one of the more pitcher‑friendly parks in MLB, especially during early‑summer night games.
WEATHER FORECAST
Temperature: 77°F at first pitch
Wind: 8–12 mph in from right‑center
Humidity: 64%
Chance of Rain: 10%
Impact: Pitcher‑friendly — wind reduces carry to the gaps
INJURY REPORT
Chicago Cubs
Seiya Suzuki — ACTIVE
Cody Bellinger — ACTIVE
Dansby Swanson — ACTIVE
Nico Hoerner — OUT (hamstring)
Jordan Wicks — OUT (forearm)
Adbert Alzolay — OUT (shoulder)
New York Mets
Pete Alonso — ACTIVE
Francisco Lindor — ACTIVE
Brandon Nimmo — ACTIVE
Starling Marte — OUT (back)
Luis Severino — OUT (lat)
Jeff McNeil — OUT (wrist)
STARTING PITCHING MATCHUP
Edward Cabrera — RHP, Cubs
2026 Season:
Record: 4–5
ERA: 4.09
WHIP: 1.29
K/BB: 78/32
Last 5 Starts: 3.66 ERA, 1.22 WHIP
Scouting Notes:
Electric fastball/changeup combo
High strikeout upside but inconsistent command
Mets rank bottom‑10 vs high‑velocity RHP
Citi Field suits his fly‑ball tendencies
Matchup Edge: Moderate advantage
Kodai Senga — RHP, Mets
2026 Season:
Record: 5–6
ERA: 3.58
WHIP: 1.19
K/BB: 91/27
Last 5 Starts: 3.21 ERA, 1.14 WHIP
Scouting Notes:
“Ghost Fork” remains elite swing‑and‑miss weapon
Cubs rank middle‑of‑the‑pack vs RHP
Vulnerable to left‑handed power (Bellinger, Busch)
Excellent at home: 2.95 ERA at Citi Field
Matchup Edge: Slight advantage
TEAM RECORDS & RECENT FORM
Chicago Cubs (40–37)
Last 10: 5–5
Road Record: 18–20
Run Differential: +19
Trend: Pitching stabilizing; offense inconsistent
Strength: Strong top‑half lineup
Weakness: Bullpen depth without Alzolay
New York Mets (34–43)
Last 10: 4–6
Home Record: 17–22
Run Differential: –41
Trend: Offense streaky; pitching improving
Strength: Top‑end rotation arms
Weakness: Lack of lineup depth due to injuries
SERIES HISTORY
2023–2026 Combined: Cubs lead 14–11
At Citi Field: Cubs have won 5 of last 7
Cabrera vs NYM: 3.60 ERA in 2 career starts
Senga vs CHC: 2.95 ERA in 3 career starts
BETTING TRENDS
Cubs
6–3 in last 9 vs losing teams
Under is 7–3 in last 10 road games
Cubs are 7–4 in Cabrera’s last 11 starts
Mets
3–7 in last 10 home games
Under is 8–4 in last 12 at Citi Field
Mets are 5–8 in Senga’s last 13 starts
Head‑to‑Head
Under has hit in 6 of last 8
Road team has won 4 of last 6
Game Odds
Chicago Cubs 8
New York Mets – 113
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Monday, June 22, 2026
