Venue: Citi Field
Location: Queens, New York
First Pitch: 4:10 PM ET
Broadcast: NESN / SNY / MLB.TV
Weather Update — Queens, NY
Temperature: 84–88°F at first pitch
Humidity: 55–65%
Wind: 10–14 mph (blowing out to left‑center)
Rain Chance: 15%
Impact:
Warm, breezy conditions → ball carries well to left‑center
Boost for right‑handed pull hitters
Pitchers must keep the ball down to avoid early home‑run damage
Team Records & Standings
Boston Red Sox — 44–48 (4th in AL East)
Offense inconsistent but improving
Rotation struggling; bullpen middle‑tier
Road record: 21–25
New York Mets — 40–55 (5th in NL East)
Offense streaky, pitching inconsistent
Bullpen bottom‑third in ERA
Home record: 20–28
Injury Report
Boston Red Sox
Rafael Devers — Probable (quad)
Triston Casas — Out (shoulder)
Nick Pivetta — Out (elbow)
Jarren Duran — Questionable (illness)
New York Mets
Francisco Lindor — Probable (ankle)
Pete Alonso — Out (wrist)
Kodai Senga — Out (shoulder)
Jeff McNeil — Questionable (back)
Impact:
Red Sox missing Casas reduces left‑handed power.
Mets missing Alonso significantly weakens middle‑order slugging.
Pitching Matchup — Boston TBD vs. F. Peralta (NYM)
New York Mets — F. Peralta (RHP)
Record: 4–6 ERA: 4.22 WHIP: 1.31 K/BB: Solid strikeout ability Pitch Mix: Four‑seam, slider, changeup Scouting Notes:
Slider is his best swing‑and‑miss pitch
Can struggle vs. left‑handed hitters
Citi Field’s dimensions help mitigate hard contact
Must avoid falling behind in counts
Boston Red Sox — Starter TBD
(Boston expected to use a bullpen-heavy approach or call-up arm) Scouting Notes:
Red Sox bullpen has been inconsistent
Matchup leans toward Mets early if Boston uses an opener
Boston’s relief corps struggles vs. right‑handed power
Recent Team Form
Boston Red Sox — Last 10 Games
5–5
Offense averaging 4.4 runs per game
Bullpen ERA: 4.12
Inconsistent but competitive
New York Mets — Last 10 Games
4–6
Offense averaging 4.1 runs per game
Rotation ERA: 4.58
Struggling to string together wins
Series History
All‑Time: Red Sox lead 44–38
Last 10 Meetings: Red Sox lead 6–4
Last Series at Citi Field: Split 1–1
2026 Season Series: First meeting of the year
Key Note: Red Sox have scored 4+ runs in 7 of their last 10 games vs. Mets.
Key Player Matchups
Rafael Devers (BOS) vs. F. Peralta (NYM)
Devers: .284 AVG, 19 HR
Peralta struggles vs. elite left‑handed hitters Edge: Devers
Masataka Yoshida (BOS) vs. Mets Bullpen
Yoshida: .296 AVG, elite contact
Mets bullpen ranks bottom‑10 in WHIP Edge: Yoshida
Francisco Lindor (NYM) vs. Red Sox Pitching
Lindor: .262 AVG, 14 HR
Red Sox pitching struggles vs. switch‑hitters Edge: Lindor
Starling Marte (NYM) vs. Boston Bullpen
Marte: .271 AVG, strong baserunning
Boston bullpen struggles vs. speed Edge: Marte
Statistical Comparison (2026 Season)
| Category | Red Sox | Mets |
| Runs per Game | 4.41 | 4.18 |
| Team ERA | 4.32 | 4.28 |
| Bullpen ERA | 4.21 | 4.11 |
| OPS | .726 | .703 |
| Home Runs | 104 | 98 |
| Defensive Runs Saved | +7 | -6 |
Key Insight: Red Sox hold slight offensive edge; Mets hold slight pitching edge.
Betting Trends
Boston Red Sox
5–5 in last 10 road games
6–3 in last 9 vs. NL East
Overs hit in 6 of last 9 Red Sox games
Red Sox 4–2 in last six Saturday games
New York Mets
3–7 in last 10 home games
2–6 in last 8 vs. teams above .500
Overs hit in 5 of last 7 Peralta starts
Mets 1–5 in last six afternoon games
Head‑to‑Head Trends
Red Sox have covered run line in 6 of last 9
Red Sox average 4.7 runs per game vs. Mets since 2022
Mets have scored 3 or fewer in 6 of last 10 vs. BOS
Game Odds
Boston Red Sox 8.5
New York Mets – 149
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Friday, July 10, 2026
