First Pitch: 7:10 PM CT
Venue: Guaranteed Rate Field – Chicago, Illinois
Surface: Kentucky Bluegrass
Capacity: ~40,600
Park Profile: Hitter‑friendly; boosts HRs to LF/RF, especially in warm weather
Weather Update
Guaranteed Rate Field is outdoors — weather will influence ball flight.
Temperature: 85°F (29°C) at first pitch
Humidity: 63%
Wind: 10–14 mph blowing out to right field
Conditions: Clear skies
Impact:
Boosts carry for left‑handed hitters
Elevated HR probability to RF/RCF
Warm, humid air favors offense
Injury Report
Boston Red Sox (41–48)
Rafael Devers (3B): Available – full workload.
Triston Casas (1B): Out – rib fracture; 2–3 weeks.
Tyler O’Neill (OF): Probable – minor hamstring tightness.
Kenley Jansen (RP): Out – back tightness; 10‑day IL.
Team Status: Lineup missing Casas’ power; bullpen weakened without Jansen.
Chicago White Sox (47–43)
Luis Robert Jr. (CF): Available – full workload.
Yoán Moncada (3B): Probable – minor wrist soreness.
Eloy Jiménez (DH): Out – quad strain; 1–2 weeks.
Garrett Crochet (SP): Out – shoulder fatigue; 10‑day IL.
Team Status: Lineup intact aside from Eloy; rotation missing Crochet’s strikeout ability.
Team Records & Recent Form
Boston Red Sox
Record: 41–48 (4th in AL East)
Last 10 Games: 4–6
Road Record: 19–26
Run Differential: -32
Trend: Offense inconsistent; pitching staff struggling.
Chicago White Sox
Record: 47–43 (2nd in AL Central)
Last 10 Games: 6–4
Home Record: 25–19
Run Differential: +14
Trend: Offense heating up; bullpen performing well.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Bennett – RHP, Red Sox
(Projected starter based on 2026 rotation alignment)
2026 Stats: 4.36 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 72 K, 28 BB
Last 5 Starts: 1–3, 4.60 ERA
Strengths: Good fastball/slider mix, induces weak contact.
Weaknesses: HR susceptibility, especially vs right‑handed power.
Matchup Note: White Sox’s right‑handed core (Robert, Vaughn, Moncada) is a tough matchup.
Martin – RHP, White Sox
2026 Stats: 3.62 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 84 K, 26 BB
Last 5 Starts: 3–1, 3.20 ERA
Strengths: Strong command, good strikeout ability, excellent home splits.
Weaknesses: Occasional issues vs left‑handed hitters.
Matchup Note: Red Sox left‑handed bats (Devers, Duran) match up well.
Key Player Matchups
1. Rafael Devers (BOS) vs. Martin
Devers’ elite bat speed vs Martin’s command‑heavy approach. If Martin falls behind in counts, Devers becomes a major threat.
2. Luis Robert Jr. (CWS) vs. Bennett
Robert’s power + wind blowing out = HR potential.
3. Jarren Duran (BOS) vs. White Sox Bullpen
Duran’s speed and line‑drive profile play well in Chicago’s hitter‑friendly environment.
4. Andrew Vaughn (CWS) vs. Red Sox Pitching
Vaughn’s ability to hit velocity makes him a key threat against Bennett.
Series History
2026 Season Series: First meeting
2025 Season Series: White Sox won 4–2
At Guaranteed Rate Field (last 10 games): White Sox lead 6–4 Chicago has historically hit well at home vs Boston.
Betting Trends
Boston Red Sox
4–6 in last 10 games
Over has hit in 6 of last 8 Red Sox road games
Boston is 3–7 vs AL Central in last 10
Bennett starts: Red Sox 6–10 this season
Chicago White Sox
6–4 in last 10 games
Over has hit in 5 of last 7 White Sox home games
White Sox are 7–3 vs teams below .500
Martin starts: White Sox 11–6 this season
Game Odds
Boston Red Sox 8
Chicago White Sox – 111
Odds Courtesy of Sports Odds Direct as of Tuesday, July 7, 2026
